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East Midlands Euros

The East Midlands European region covers Derbyshire, Nottinghamshire, Leicestershire, Northamptonshire, Rutland and post-1974 Lincolnshire. In 2004 it elected 6 MEPs using the d’Hondt method, but under the Treaty of Nice it will lose a seat at the next election, returning only 5 MEPs. This means the Liberal Democrats notionally lose a seat in this region, though they would regain it on the smallest of swings from any of the other parties.

In 2004 the region returned 2 Conservatives, 2 UKIP, 1 Labour and 1 Liberal Democrat. It was contested by the former television presenter Robert Kilroy-Silk, with the result that UKIP were almost able to top the poll and gained seats from Labour and the Conservatives. Kilroy-Silk subsequently left UKIP to found his own short-lived Veritas party and now sits as an Independent. It is unclear whether he will contest the seat at the next European elections.

Sitting MEPs and 2004 Results

1. portrait Roger Helmer (Conservative) 371,362 (26.4%)
2. portrait Robert Kilroy-Silk (Independent) 366,498 (26.1%) (Originally elected as UKIP)
3. portrait Glenis Wilmot (Labour) 294,198 (21.0%) (Replaced Philip Whitehead in 2005)
4. portrait Chris Heaton-Harris (Conservative) (185,681) (Will stand down at next election)
5. portrait Derek Clark (UKIP) (183,249)
6. Bill Newton Dunn (Lib Dem) 181,964 (12.9%)
-. BNP 91,860 (6.5%)
-. Green 76,633 (5.5%)
-. Respect 20,009 (1.4%)
-. Russell Rogers (Independent) 2,615 (0.2%)
-. S. Halliday (Independent) 847 (0.1%)

2009 Candidates

Labour

1. portraitGlenis Willmott. Sitting MEP. Born 1951, County Durham. Former medical scientist, assistant to Alan Meale and trade union officer. Nottinghamshire county councillor 1989-1993. MEP for the East Midlands since 2006, suceeding upon the death of Phillip Whitehead.
2. portraitRoy Kennedy. Former director of Finance for the Labour party.
3. portraitKathryn Salt. Former Amber Valley councillor. Awarded the MBE for charity work.
4. portraitJ David Morgan. Born 1960, Keresley. Educated at Sheffield University. Law tutor. Former Northamptonshire county councillor. Contested Blaby 2001, 2005.
5. portraitCate Taylor. Educated at Oxford University. Solicitor.

Conservative

1. portraitRoger Helmer. Sitting MEP. Born 1944, London. Educated at King Edward VI Grammar School, Southampton and Cambridge University. Businessman. MEP for the East Midlands since 1999. An outspoken right-winger, opponent of British membership of the EU and sceptic of climate change, he had the party whip suspended in 2005 for voting against party lines, it was restored in 2006 though he remains outside the EPP-ED group.
2. portraitEmma McClarkin. Born Stroud. Educated at Stroud Girls High School and Bournemouth University. Government relations executive for the Rugby Football Union.
3. portraitRupert Matthews. Born 1961. Freelance author and historian. Contested Bootle 1997.
4. portraitFiona Bulmer. Born 1967. Educated at Samual Whitbread Upper School and Bristol University. Corporate communications consultant. Barnet councillor. Contested Normanton 1997.
5. portraitGeorge Lee. Former Rossendale councillor. Contested Rossendale and Darwen 2001, Leeds North West 2005

Liberal Democrat

1. portraitBill Newton Dunn. Born 1941, Hampshire. Educated at Marlborough College and the Sorbonne. Conservative MEP for Lincolnshire 1979-1994. Conservative MEP for East Midlands from 1999, he defected to the Liberal Democrats in 1999.
2. portraitEd Maxfield. Born 1967, Owersby. Educated at De Aston School and East Anglia University. Former business consultant, now working for a disability rights charity.
3. portraitDenise Hawksworth. Born Liverpool. Office manager for Paul Holmes MP. Chesterfield councillor since 2003. Contested Bolsover 2005. Will contest Bolsover at the next election.
4. portraitDeborah Newton-Cook. Assistant to Diana Wallis MEP. Contested East Midlands 2004 European election, Derbyshire South 2005.
5. portraitDavid Perkins. Northampton councillor.

UKIP

1. portraitDerek Clark. Sitting MEP. Born 1933, Bristol. Retired teacher. Contested Northampton South 2001, 2005. First elected as MEP for the East Midlands in 2004.
2. portraitChristopher Pain. Contested Louth & Horncastle 2005. Will contest Boston and Skegness at next election.
3. portraitStephen Allison. born 1960, Hartlepool. Educated at Hartlepool Grammar and London University. Management consultant. Independent Hartlepool councillor from 2002, joined UKIP 2004. Contested Hartlepool by-election 2004.
4. portraitDeva Kumarasiri. Born Sri Lanka. Postmaster, transferred from a Nottingham Post Office in 2009 after refusing to serve customers who didn’t speak English.
5. portraitIrenea Marriot. Spiritualist who claimed in 2005 she had recieved “communication for higher realms” that Blair would not win the election. Contested Nottingham North 2005.

Green

1. portraitSue Mallender. Teacher. Rushcliffe councillor since 2003. Contested East Midlands 1999, 2004 European Elections.
2. portraitRichard Mallender. Rushcliffe councillor since 2007, former Brighton councillor.
3. portraitAshley Baxter. Director the Energy Saving Trust advice centre. Contested Rushcliffe 2001, Nottingham East 2005.
4. portraitMatthew Follett. Contested Leicester South 2005.
5. portraitBarney Smith. Educated at Sibford School and Liverpool University. Town planner. Contested Birmingham Selly Oak 2005, 2001.

BNP

1. portraitRobert West.Former lecturer who has set up his own church in Holbeach. Former South Holland District councillor, elected as a Conservative but defected to the BNP in 2006.
2. portraitCathy Duffy.Born 1958, Malaysia. Charnwood councillor.
3. portraitPeter Jarvis.Born Leicester. Educated at London University. Former teacher, now working in industry
4. portraitLewis Allsebrook.Amber Valley councillor.
5. portraitKevan Stafford.Educated at De Montford University. Retired architect.

No2EU

1. portraitJohn McEwan Lindsey oil refinery worker and shop steward
2. portraitAvtar Sadiq Vice-President of the Indian Workers’ Association (GB)
3. portraitJean Thorpe Member of UNISON executive
4. portraitShang Gahonia
5. portraitLaurence Platt UNITE branch secretary

Socialist Labour

1. portraitDavid Roberts Community centre manager. Contested Leicester South 1983 for the Workers Party, Leicester West 1997, Leicester South 2001, Leicester South by-election 2004 for the Socialist Labour Party.
2. portraitPaul Liversuch Former miner and NUM official. Contested Derbyshire South 2001
3. portraitShaun Kirkpatrick Contested Leicester West 2001.
4. portraitMichael Clifford
5. portraitThea Roberts

Libertas

1. portraitRichard Elvin Born Lincolnshire. Educated at Newcastle University. Tour operator and former teacher.
2. portraitMargot Parker Consultant on European directives and regulations.
3. portraitPeter Chaplin Runs an engineering machine manufacturing company.
4. portraitJames Daniels.
5. portraitWilliam Winter.

UK First

1. portraitIan Gillman Born 1952. Educated at Central London Polytechnic. Photographer. Contested Corby 1997, 2001, 2005 for UKIP.
2. portraitChristopher Elliot
3. portraitNadine Platt
4. portraitDavid Noakes Computer consultant. Contested Truro and St Austell in 2005 for UKIP. Unsuccessfully contested UKIP leadership in 2006.
5. portraitMariann French

Christian Party

1. portraitSuzanne Nti. Church pastor.
2. Tom Rogers 3. Tim Webb
4. Colin Bricher 5. Doreen Scrimshaw

English Democrat

1. portraitDerek Hilling.
2. Tony Ellis 3. Diane Bilgrami
4. David Ball 5. Anthony Edwards

Jury Team

1. portraitJames Lowey Educated at Gedling School. Works in a cafe.
2. portraitSimon Flude Businessman
3. portraitJames Parker Caseworker assistant for a human right charity.
4. portraitHenry Blanchard Physics student at Nottingham University.
5. portraitPerry Wilsher Born 1958, Nottingham. Educated at William Sharp Comprehensive. Founded a business selling anti-graffitti paint, sold last year.

NB - The constituency guide is now archived and is no longer being updated. The new guide is at http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide

90 Responses to “East Midlands European”

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  1. There must be a small chance that Bill Newton Dunn might lose his seat. I wouldn’t mind that much if he did since I don’t think much of people who spend a long time in one party and then change their mind.

  2. Certainly a chance.

    But in an election where UKIP and Labour are both likely to drop significantly (even if UKIP were doing well nationally, the 2004 starting point is artificially high because of RKS’s candidacy) I think he really ought to be safe.

    I tend to be more forgiving of defectors – in all directions. People’s views change and the parties change. As a centrist pro-European whose political career path began back in the 70s or late 60s (he’s been an MEP since 1979), the Conservative Party Bill Newton-Dunn left was a very different and less friendly beast from the Conservative Party he joined.

  3. “(even if UKIP were doing well nationally, the 2004 starting point is artificially high because of RKS’s candidacy) ”

    This is true of course, but then even if UKIP’s vote share was halved they would still be ahead of the LDs assuming no change in their share. As I see it the final two seats are in a three way fight between UKIP, LDs and BNP all of whom will be getting around 11 or 12% (UKIP could potentially get somewhat more than that). It does seem unlikely that the LDs could come fifth behind both UKIP and BNP but it is not at all impossible

  4. I believe that everyone is kind of over estimating the appeal of the BNP to sgguest they will at 9-10 % is not realistic , they are universally reviled by decent people and their attempts to appear respectable are pathetic , we still should challenge them at every turn becuase the kind of politics they preach is that of hate and is fundementally racsist regardless of what spin they put on it , then again this country being what it is renowned for being conservative and backward it wouldn’t suprise me if they did far better here then nationally , sadly as this county is chocka block with NIMBIES and old dusty cumugens the greens aint set to do very well here but the polls nationally put them around 9 – 11 % consistantly regardless if whether the poll was commissoned by UKIP or the Guardian and in particular strong holds they will do particularly well norwich and brighton for example , the greens get very little media attention and yet the BNP a much smaller party is constantly in the headlines , you can usually tell when its a green spokesman or politician cause they speak very very quickly as if they we’re compeating on just a minute because they are so used to having such limited air time .

  5. believe that everyone is kind of over estimating the appeal of the BNP to sgguest they will at 9-10 % is not realistic

    The YouGov poll commissioned for the Daily Torygraph puts BNP on 9% in the Midlands..

  6. It’s a rather awful indictment of the main parties that a man who has set up his own church in the back of beyond and is standing for the BNP is likely to be elected to the European parliament in a few days time. That Telegraph poll seems to suggest he has a good chance of winning a seat.

  7. Wasn’t that what Rev I Paisley did…and look at the importance he has played in ploitics….(oh and to insult the far end of the fens is disrepectful…very good scalatrix facility near Spaliding…).

  8. And I really ought to check what I type, apologies the mistakes are unbecoming! Politics, Spalding, etc…could also give Fens a Capital ‘F’!!

  9. I agree with Thomas, the BNP are over-estimated and over-emphasised. I work in the roughest pub in my town – the type of pub where people who are at the shitty end of the ‘credit-crunch’ drink. Where many are worried for their jobs, homes etc… Intrinsically working class and increasingly disillusioned with New Labour and the other main three. I would’ve expected many, or at least some, to celebrate the BNP as a working class representation (which, of course, they aren’t) – but all I’ve heard has been either “I don’t like the tories – but that Cameron sometimes talks sense” or “I might vote UKIP, f*** the main parties they deserve it” and “The BNP are just a bunch of nazis” and most commonly “I don’t know who to vote for, they’re all a bunch of c***s”.

    That’s why I back no2eu, as part of a vision to establish a new workers party to pro[erly represent normal people.

  10. Again last night a street I would expect to do well in but overwhelmingly Dont Know but definitely not Tory. Am begining to expect to see a low turn-out as well as protest votes – but remember a lot of people have already voted by post. Also I do not get any sense that the BNP have enough for an Eats Midlands Euro seat. I am sticking to my prediction 1 Tory 1 Labour 1 Lib Dem 1 UKIP & 1 Green

  11. A Green seat here would be a very good result for them. I suspect they won’t win one myself.

  12. Final Prediction:

    Conservatives – 2
    UKIP – 1
    Labour – 1
    Libdems – 1

    This is the hardest region to call. The last 2 seats will be very tight between 2nd Conservative, 2nd UKIP and 1st Libdem. The Greens and BNP have no hope here. UKIP could take the Libdem seat.

  13. Desperate results coming in for Labour in Lincolnshire where they have lost most of their CC seats and about half their vote share (up to two thirds in some divisions). BNP have a consistent support of between 10 and 15% in the divisions theyve contested so I wouldnt rule them out of this region, especially as they will tend to be stronger in other parts of the region (Leicestershire and Derbyshire)

  14. Looking at the results in Leicestershire the BNP seem to have done much better than anyone might have predicted. I was sceptical of the idea that they might do better in the Euro elections in the East Midlands than the West Midlands but maybe that could happen especially as they seemed to do quite well in Lincolnshire.

  15. I think actually the BNP did sllightly worse than might have been expecetd in terms of seats – I would have thought they would have won a seat or two in Derbyshire, but they did win Coalville in Leicestershire. I do think their vote share will be higher in this region than the West Midlands and perhaps the highest of all regions, but because the threshold is higher it may still not be enough while the election of Nick Griffin in the NW is likely on a lower share of the vote than then BNP will get here.

  16. Yes I was referring to vote share rather than seats won. I was surprised to see the BNP share over 15% in so many divisions.

  17. There was a rather strange result for Leicester reported by Jeremy Vine on the BBC’s programme just now saying they’d gone up 9% or something. I wonder if that was a correct report? I did expect Labour to do better than elsewhere in Leicester because of the large Asian population turning out for them but 9% seems a bit much.

  18. Suspect a combination of Lib Dem appeal to Asian vote and RKS winning votes for UKIP in 2004 which has now unwound.

  19. The UKIP vote fell as expected here, and they lost one seat, falling behind Labour (despite their woes), but stayed comfortable ahead of the Lib Dems, and in third place. Otherwise little change, the BNP and Greens picking up votes but both a fair way from winning a seat.

  20. How does Lib Dem appeal to Asian voters in Leicester account for a 9% rise in the Labour share?

  21. OK I got it wrong – but 5th place was close and I’d rather have a Tory than BNP – depsite our poor performance nationally pleased to see Glenis moving up from 3rd to 2nd place

  22. The reported Leicester result looks, statistically, like an “outlier”. The reason for it needs to be indentified.

    Did the turnout increase in Leicester?

  23. Pete: I think Benjamin meant a Lib Dem appeal to the Asian vote *in 2004* (cf. the Leicester South by-election) – which has now unwound.

  24. UKIP with Kilroy-Silk standing did very well in Leicester in 2004 so a lot of their votes must have come from Asian voters given the demographic composition of the city. The UKIP vote collapsed this time and it was only natural that most of them would go back to Labour since a lot of those voters would have wanted to prevent a BNP seat in the East Midlands.

  25. “Pete: I think Benjamin meant a Lib Dem appeal to the Asian vote *in 2004* (cf. the Leicester South by-election) – which has now unwound.”

    I see – yes maybe he meant that. However the LD vote in Leicester was not very high in 2004. There was quite a high vote for Respect though (9% infact) and I imagine that did swing back en masse.

    Eric the fifth seat wasnt actually very close in the event. IN as much as it was close it was close between the LD and a third Conservative, followed by the BNP.
    You suggested the Greens were in the running – if this region had twice as many seats the Greens would still not have won one of the seats on that vote share. There would have been four conservatives, 2 Labour, 2 Lib Dems and 1 BNP returened before a Green got a look in.

  26. With a threshold of 20% – Tory 2 had 10.2%, with BNP coming up behind with 8.7% – greens on 6.8%. Suppose I am techy (I was nearly thumped by 1 BNP voter) but the 1.5% gap between Tory 2 and BNP is still too close for my liking. Very very sorry to lose John Legrys the Labour Councillor for Coalville. I still wonder what will happen abtu the Standards Board Enquiry into allegations of irregularities wrt the Breedon County seat – police are investigating too. You will have to search the Leicester mercury for the full story – search under Dirty Tricks – [snipped details- AW]. We await the slow wheels of justice

  27. Eric,

    If I were you I’d take more care when it came to throwing around accusations on the internet.

  28. “With a threshold of 20% – Tory 2 had 10.2%, with BNP coming up behind with 8.7%”

    There is no threshold of 20%. The vote for each party is divided by 1+number of seats already won, therefore when the Tories won their first seat their vote is halved – to 15.1% in this case. In the event there were 6 seats in this region the Conservatives would have won the next seat, their original vote having been divided by 3, putting them on 10.1%. Only for an imaginary seventh seat would it have then been close – between the BNP, a second Labour seat and a second UKIP seat which the BNP would narrowly have won. (Labour would then have won seat 8, UKIP seat 9, Conservatives seat 10)

  29. Eric unlike you i am delighted to see the back of legrys after his verbal attack against the BNP at a county council meeting late last year he was a target to remove and it was great to see him go. As for the greens taking a seat LOL!!! (Legrys used to be a Green before labour) just where do you get your info. So you were nearly thumped by a BNP supporter any reason why or another laboue Lie. Did you spend your day like the labour NWL PPC ripping down and stealing BNP placards ? rather than campaigning.

  30. Hi Pete

    I am ignoring the BNP by the way – and yes I was nearly thumped by one of their supporters. However in view of the non-partisan nature of this web-site I refer readers to my blogs on the BNP, who have brought nothing but shame to this region.

    There are only 5 seats in the East Midlands this time, not 6. However I was not aware of the bizarre rules you outline. I assumed that with 5 seats you need 20% to win – then the remaining votes are allocated to the next on the list – thus 20% for Tory 1 leaving 10.2 for Tory 2. If that is not how it is done then it seems a strange system. And you are therefore correct.

    Very pleased to see UKIP presented a clear case on the EU, unlike the Tories who always claim to be anti-EU but are in fact the architects of British Membership of the EU.

  31. Yes Eric I’m aware there are only 5 seats here now. I did say that “In the event there were 6 seats ” that the sixth seat would also have gone Tory in order to demonstrate how with 5 seats it was not actually at all close to a situation of either the BNP or the Greens winning a seat.

  32. My error was thinking that it worked like STV. It was therefore a good win for Roger and Emma (whom I have yet to have any contact with and I hope will take a different line to Roger on EU affairs).

    Most of the people I canvassed who were intending to vote BNP (apart from the one who tried to thump me) said that it was a protest vote – I hope so.

    So where next for the EU then? The 3 main parties , all of whom are committed to remain in the EU, secured around 65% of the votes cast – so we are in for the next 5 years at least. It needs reform badly. I would like to see more power given to the elected EU parliament and taken away from the Council of Ministers.

    Will UKIP voters return to the main parties for the General Election – or will David Cameron’s very pro-EU Euroepan Elections manifesto (I read it this evening) keep UKIP strong.

    Which is all leading up to wondering if the size of ‘other’ votes will decide the next General Election – as electoral reform is unlikelt to happen by then

  33. Eric my friend ‘The protest vote’ as you call it, keeps growing. Personally the people i have canvassed over the past 6 years across the UK tell me a different reason for voting BNP. Love your website by the way. As pete says we were not that close with the euros as it worked we would of taken the 7th seat (if only the East Mids had 7) still filling the gaps to make sure we are it a better position next time.

  34. The problem, Eric, with giving more powers to the European Parliament is that it is not an especially reliable expression of the democratic will of the European electorate. For that to be the case it would have to be elected following a pan-European campaign conducted by trans-national political parties to chose between competing potential programmes of government for an EU wide administrarion. The major obstacle to this happening are the cultural, social and linguistic divisions across the EU which meen that no European demos exists in any real sense. At the moment we don’t really have a European election we have a whole load of national elections for members of the European parliament which may be, but more often are not, conducted with reference to European issues.

    I am interested by your assertion that your preffered transfer of power should be from the council of ministers to the parliament. Surely the instituion more responsible for the undemocratic nature of the EU is the Commission. It is the power of the Commission that needs to be curbed. If you were drawing up a constitution for the UK that proposed the kind of power for the civil service that is wielded by the commission people would rightly condemn it as being profoundly undemocratic.

  35. Seems like we have lost half our MEPs going either left or right! Disgraceful betryal of the voters who voted con not lib or UKIP

  36. Well its a bit more complex in this case as can be discerned from the articles linked to by doktorb. I totally agree that MEPs do not have a personal mandate as they have been elected on a party list , therefore if they defect to another party they should forfeit that seat and it should go to the nect person on the list. It appears that this is what Mr helmer sought to do in this case but that the party Chariman sought to impose some other candidate who wasn’t on the list, which I think even more disgraceful as such an appointee would enjoy no conceivable mandate.
    At least this one balances the defection of David Campbell-Bannerman from UKIP to Conservative, so UKIP are now represented again in the correct proportion to how many people voted for them, even if not unfortuantely in the correct region.

  37. I may be wrong but I dont’ think they could have replaced him with anyone at random from Warsi’s facebook friends.
    The replacemente should be drawn from the 2009 East Midlands Conservative list. However, the “next in line” should provide a “certificate signed by or on behalf of the nominating officer of the registered party which submitted the relevant list stating that he may be returned as that party’s MEP”.

    So the CCHQ can effectively veto Ruppert Matthews but then they would have to offer the job to either Fiona Bulmer (4th) or George Lee (5th).

    That was the original 1999 Act (when PR was introduced). It has been amended in 2002 and 2009 but I think the main change in terms of filling vacancies regared Northern Ireland.

  38. Thanks for this clarification Andrea. It remains that the next person on the list should automatically inherit the seat (IMO) unless they have subsequently become ineligible in some way (obviously if they have themselves left the party/joined another). The rules are as they are and I think should be changed as in a D’Hondt list system MEP’s owe their position entirely to their place on the list. Therefore while sitting MEPs who change parties have no legal obligation to forfeit their seats, many belive they have a moral obligation to do so. Therefore Messrs Macmillan-Scott, Campbell Bannerman and Helmer should all forfeit their seats to be replaced by Fleur Butler, Andrew SMith and Rupert Matthews respetcively. Mr Helmer at least did try, alone of those three, to bring about this outcome

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