Conservative Target Seats
Below are the hundred seats where the Conservative party needs to overturn the lowest percentage majority to win the seat. These are not necesssarily the seats where it will be easiest to do so, or the seats that the party will actually be targetting at the next election. In seats marked with an asterisk (*) the Conservative party is currently in third (or lower) place.
Conservative target seats, Labour target seats, Liberal Democrat target seats
| 1. Hampstead and Kilburn | 42 | Swing required 0.04% |
| 2. Bolton West | 92 | Swing required 0.1% |
| 3. Solihull | 175 | Swing required 0.16% |
| 4. Southampton Itchen | 192 | Swing required 0.22% |
| 5. Dorset Mid and Poole North | 269 | Swing required 0.29% |
| 6. Wirral South | 531 | Swing required 0.66% |
| 7. Derby North | 613 | Swing required 0.68% |
| 8. Wells | 800 | Swing required 0.72% |
| 9. Dudley North | 649 | Swing required 0.84% |
| 10. Great Grimsby | 714 | Swing required 1.08% |
| 11. Morley and Outwood | 1101 | Swing required 1.13% |
| 12. Telford | 978 | Swing required 1.19% |
| 13. Walsall North | 990 | Swing required 1.37% |
| 14. St Austell and Newquay | 1312 | Swing required 1.39% |
| 15. Somerton and Frome | 1817 | Swing required 1.5% |
| 16. Birmingham Edgbaston | 1274 | Swing required 1.54% |
| 17. Sutton and Cheam | 1608 | Swing required 1.66% |
| 18. Halifax | 1472 | Swing required 1.69% |
| 19. Newcastle-under-Lyme | 1552 | Swing required 1.8% |
| 20. Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East | 1677 | Swing required 1.82% |
| 21. Wakefield | 1613 | Swing required 1.82% |
| 22. St Ives | 1719 | Swing required 1.87% |
| 23. Plymouth Moor View | 1588 | Swing required 1.91% |
| 24. Gedling | 1859 | Swing required 1.93% |
| 25. Eltham | 1663 | Swing required 1.98% |
| 26. Walsall South | 1755 | Swing required 2.15% |
| 27. Nottingham South | 1772 | Swing required 2.18% |
| 28. Chippenham | 2470 | Swing required 2.36% |
| 29. Tooting | 2524 | Swing required 2.5% |
| 30. Derbyshire North East | 2445 | Swing required 2.6% |
| 31. Chorley | 2593 | Swing required 2.61% |
| 32. Exeter | 2721 | Swing required 2.61% |
| 33. Blackpool South | 1851 | Swing required 2.63% |
| 34. Westminster North | 2126 | Swing required 2.69% |
| 35. Southampton Test | 2413 | Swing required 2.74% |
| 36. Luton South | 2329 | Swing required 2.76% |
| 37. Bridgend | 2263 | Swing required 2.95% |
| 38. Dagenham and Rainham | 2630 | Swing required 2.97% |
| 39. Delyn | 2272 | Swing required 3.07% |
| 40. Cheadle | 3272 | Swing required 3.12% |
| 41. Cornwall North | 2981 | Swing required 3.19% |
| 42. Gower | 2683 | Swing required 3.22% |
| 43. Norwich South | 310 | Swing required 3.22% |
| 44. Penistone and Stocksbridge | 3049 | Swing required 3.28% |
| 45. Eastbourne | 3435 | Swing required 3.3% |
| 46. Birmingham Northfield | 2782 | Swing required 3.33% |
| 47. Stalybridge and Hyde | 2744 | Swing required 3.36% |
| 48. Bury South | 3292 | Swing required 3.41% |
| 49. Harrow West | 3143 | Swing required 3.41% |
| 50. Taunton Deane | 3993 | Swing required 3.43% |
| 51. Scunthorpe | 2549 | Swing required 3.44% |
| 52. Berwick-upon-Tweed | 2690 | Swing required 3.5% |
| 53. Vale of Clwyd | 2509 | Swing required 3.53% |
| 54. Wolverhampton North East | 2484 | Swing required 3.56% |
| 55. Eastleigh | 3864 | Swing required 3.6% |
| 56. Hyndburn | 3090 | Swing required 3.62% |
| 57. Alyn and Deeside | 2919 | Swing required 3.66% |
| 58. Hammersmith | 3549 | Swing required 3.74% |
| 59. Birmingham Selly Oak | 3482 | Swing required 3.74% |
| 60. Argyll and Bute | 3431 | Swing required 3.79% |
| 61. Darlington | 3388 | Swing required 3.95% |
| 62. Sefton Central | 3862 | Swing required 3.99% |
| 63. Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine | 3684 | Swing required 4.08% |
| 64. Clwyd South | 2834 | Swing required 4.09% |
| 65. Bristol East | 3722 | Swing required 4.14% |
| 66. Don Valley | 3595 | Swing required 4.14% |
| 67. Torbay | 4078 | Swing required 4.14% |
| 68. Coventry South | 3845 | Swing required 4.19% |
| 69. Batley and Spen | 4406 | Swing required 4.31% |
| 70. Angus | 3282 | Swing required 4.33% |
| 71. Newport West | 3544 | Swing required 4.46% |
| 72. Lancashire West | 4343 | Swing required 4.48% |
| 73. Copeland | 3833 | Swing required 4.48% |
| 74. Perth and Perthshire North | 4379 | Swing required 4.54% |
| 75. Birmingham Erdington | 3277 | Swing required 4.61% |
| 76. Cheltenham | 4920 | Swing required 4.66% |
| 77. Bolton North East | 4084 | Swing required 4.72% |
| 78. Leeds North East | 4545 | Swing required 4.78% |
| 79. Brecon and Radnorshire | 3747 | Swing required 4.83% |
| 80. Ellesmere Port and Neston | 4331 | Swing required 4.9% |
| 81. Feltham and Heston | 4658 | Swing required 4.99% |
| 82. Stoke-on-Trent South | 4130 | Swing required 5.18% |
| 83. Oldham East and Saddleworth | 103* | Swing required 5.19% |
| 84. Worsley and Eccles South | 4337 | Swing required 5.2% |
| 85. Brighton Pavilion | 1252* | Swing required 5.23% |
| 86. Banff and Buchan | 4027 | Swing required 5.24% |
| 87. Cardiff South and Penarth | 4709 | Swing required 5.31% |
| 88. Ynys Mon | 2461* | Swing required 5.44% |
| 89. Tynemouth | 5739 | Swing required 5.45% |
| 90. Huddersfield | 4472 | Swing required 5.52% |
| 91. Leicester West | 4017 | Swing required 5.61% |
| 92. Devon North | 5821 | Swing required 5.67% |
| 93. Carshalton and Wallington | 5260 | Swing required 5.73% |
| 94. Wrexham | 3658 | Swing required 5.74% |
| 95. Slough | 5523 | Swing required 5.79% |
| 96. Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk | 5675 | Swing required 5.79% |
| 97. Cardiff West | 4750 | Swing required 5.8% |
| 98. Workington | 4575 | Swing required 5.83% |
| 99. Barrow and Furness | 5208 | Swing required 5.91% |
| 100. Bradford East | 365* | Swing required 5.97% |
NB - The constituency guide is now archived and is no longer being updated. The new guide is at http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide