The UKPollingReport election guide for 2010 has now been archived and all comments will shortly be closed. The new Election Guide for the 2015 election is now online at http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide. The old site is archived at the UK Web Archive.
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Conservative Target Seats

Below are the hundred seats where the Conservative party needs to overturn the lowest percentage majority to win the seat. These are not necesssarily the seats where it will be easiest to do so, or the seats that the party will actually be targetting at the next election. In seats marked with an asterisk (*) the Conservative party is currently in third (or lower) place.

Conservative target seats, Labour target seats, Liberal Democrat target seats

1. Hampstead and Kilburn 42 Swing required 0.04%
2. Bolton West 92 Swing required 0.1%
3. Solihull 175 Swing required 0.16%
4. Southampton Itchen 192 Swing required 0.22%
5. Dorset Mid and Poole North 269 Swing required 0.29%
6. Wirral South 531 Swing required 0.66%
7. Derby North 613 Swing required 0.68%
8. Wells 800 Swing required 0.72%
9. Dudley North 649 Swing required 0.84%
10. Great Grimsby 714 Swing required 1.08%
11. Morley and Outwood 1101 Swing required 1.13%
12. Telford 978 Swing required 1.19%
13. Walsall North 990 Swing required 1.37%
14. St Austell and Newquay 1312 Swing required 1.39%
15. Somerton and Frome 1817 Swing required 1.5%
16. Birmingham Edgbaston 1274 Swing required 1.54%
17. Sutton and Cheam 1608 Swing required 1.66%
18. Halifax 1472 Swing required 1.69%
19. Newcastle-under-Lyme 1552 Swing required 1.8%
20. Middlesbrough South and Cleveland East 1677 Swing required 1.82%
21. Wakefield 1613 Swing required 1.82%
22. St Ives 1719 Swing required 1.87%
23. Plymouth Moor View 1588 Swing required 1.91%
24. Gedling 1859 Swing required 1.93%
25. Eltham 1663 Swing required 1.98%
26. Walsall South 1755 Swing required 2.15%
27. Nottingham South 1772 Swing required 2.18%
28. Chippenham 2470 Swing required 2.36%
29. Tooting 2524 Swing required 2.5%
30. Derbyshire North East 2445 Swing required 2.6%
31. Chorley 2593 Swing required 2.61%
32. Exeter 2721 Swing required 2.61%
33. Blackpool South 1851 Swing required 2.63%
34. Westminster North 2126 Swing required 2.69%
35. Southampton Test 2413 Swing required 2.74%
36. Luton South 2329 Swing required 2.76%
37. Bridgend 2263 Swing required 2.95%
38. Dagenham and Rainham 2630 Swing required 2.97%
39. Delyn 2272 Swing required 3.07%
40. Cheadle 3272 Swing required 3.12%
41. Cornwall North 2981 Swing required 3.19%
42. Gower 2683 Swing required 3.22%
43. Norwich South 310 Swing required 3.22%
44. Penistone and Stocksbridge 3049 Swing required 3.28%
45. Eastbourne 3435 Swing required 3.3%
46. Birmingham Northfield 2782 Swing required 3.33%
47. Stalybridge and Hyde 2744 Swing required 3.36%
48. Bury South 3292 Swing required 3.41%
49. Harrow West 3143 Swing required 3.41%
50. Taunton Deane 3993 Swing required 3.43%
51. Scunthorpe 2549 Swing required 3.44%
52. Berwick-upon-Tweed 2690 Swing required 3.5%
53. Vale of Clwyd 2509 Swing required 3.53%
54. Wolverhampton North East 2484 Swing required 3.56%
55. Eastleigh 3864 Swing required 3.6%
56. Hyndburn 3090 Swing required 3.62%
57. Alyn and Deeside 2919 Swing required 3.66%
58. Hammersmith 3549 Swing required 3.74%
59. Birmingham Selly Oak 3482 Swing required 3.74%
60. Argyll and Bute 3431 Swing required 3.79%
61. Darlington 3388 Swing required 3.95%
62. Sefton Central 3862 Swing required 3.99%
63. Aberdeenshire West and Kincardine 3684 Swing required 4.08%
64. Clwyd South 2834 Swing required 4.09%
65. Bristol East 3722 Swing required 4.14%
66. Don Valley 3595 Swing required 4.14%
67. Torbay 4078 Swing required 4.14%
68. Coventry South 3845 Swing required 4.19%
69. Batley and Spen 4406 Swing required 4.31%
70. Angus 3282 Swing required 4.33%
71. Newport West 3544 Swing required 4.46%
72. Lancashire West 4343 Swing required 4.48%
73. Copeland 3833 Swing required 4.48%
74. Perth and Perthshire North 4379 Swing required 4.54%
75. Birmingham Erdington 3277 Swing required 4.61%
76. Cheltenham 4920 Swing required 4.66%
77. Bolton North East 4084 Swing required 4.72%
78. Leeds North East 4545 Swing required 4.78%
79. Brecon and Radnorshire 3747 Swing required 4.83%
80. Ellesmere Port and Neston 4331 Swing required 4.9%
81. Feltham and Heston 4658 Swing required 4.99%
82. Stoke-on-Trent South 4130 Swing required 5.18%
83. Oldham East and Saddleworth 103* Swing required 5.19%
84. Worsley and Eccles South 4337 Swing required 5.2%
85. Brighton Pavilion 1252* Swing required 5.23%
86. Banff and Buchan 4027 Swing required 5.24%
87. Cardiff South and Penarth 4709 Swing required 5.31%
88. Ynys Mon 2461* Swing required 5.44%
89. Tynemouth 5739 Swing required 5.45%
90. Huddersfield 4472 Swing required 5.52%
91. Leicester West 4017 Swing required 5.61%
92. Devon North 5821 Swing required 5.67%
93. Carshalton and Wallington 5260 Swing required 5.73%
94. Wrexham 3658 Swing required 5.74%
95. Slough 5523 Swing required 5.79%
96. Berwickshire, Roxburgh and Selkirk 5675 Swing required 5.79%
97. Cardiff West 4750 Swing required 5.8%
98. Workington 4575 Swing required 5.83%
99. Barrow and Furness 5208 Swing required 5.91%
100. Bradford East 365* Swing required 5.97%
NB - The constituency guide is now archived and is no longer being updated. The new guide is at http://ukpollingreport.co.uk/2015guide

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