EU Membership Referendum

Referendum Question/voting intention

Polls asking referendum voting intention including the wording of the proposed referendum. Note that the wording of the question was changed from September 2015 on the recommendation of the Electoral Commission.

 

Date Remain Leave WNV or DK Remain Leave
Survation/IG 20/6/2016 45 44 11 51 49
YouGov/Times 19/6/2016 42 44 13 49 51
ORB/Telegraph 19/6/2016 54 46 n/a 54 46
Survation/Mail on Sunday 18/6/2016 45 42 13 52 48
YouGov/Times 17/6/2016 44 43 9 51 49
Opinium/Observer 17/6/2016 44 44 12 50 50
YouGov/ITV 16/6/2016 42 44 9 49 51
Survation/IG 15/6/2016 42 45 13 48 52
BMG (P) 15/6/2016 53 47 n/a 53 47
BMG (O) 15/6/2016 45 55 n/a 45 55
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 14/6/2016 43 49 3 47 53
YouGov/Times 13/6/2016 39 46 15 46 54
ICM/Guardian (P) 13/6/2016 45 50 5 47 53
ICM/Guardian (O) 13/6/2016 44 49 7 47 53
ComRes/Sun 13/6/2016 46 45 9 51 49
TNS 13/6/2016 40 47 13 46 54
ORB/Telegraph 12/6/2016 49 44 7 53 47
NatCen 12/6/2016 53 47 n/a 53 47
YouGov/Times 10/6/2016 42 43 11 49 51
Opinium/Observer 10/6/2016 44 42 13 51 49
ORB/Independent (O) 9/6/2016 45 55 n/a 45 55
YouGov/Times 6/6/2016 43 42 15 51 49
ICM 5/6/2016 43 48 9 47 53
ORB/Telegraph 5/6/2016 52 40 7 57 43
YouGov/GMB 3/6/2016 41 45 15 48 52
Opinium/Observer 3/6/2016 43 41 16 51 49
YouGov/Times 31/5/2016 41 41 17 50 50
ICM/Guardian (P) 29/5/2016 42 45 15 48 52
ICM/Guardian (O) 29/5/2016 44 47 9 48 52
ORB/Telegraph 29/5/2016 51 46 3 53 47
BMG 25/5/2016 44 45 12 49 51
Survation/IG 24/5/2016 44 38 18 54 46
YouGov/TImes 24/5/2016 41 41 17 50 50
ICM 22/5/2016 45 45 10 50 50
ORB/Telegraph 22/5/2016 55 42 3 57 43
Opinium/Observor 19/5/2016 44 40 14 52 48
YouGov/Times 17/5/2016 44 40 15 52 48
ComRes/Daily Mail 17/5/2016 52 41 7 56 44
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 16/5/2016 55 37 5 60 40
ICM/Guardian (P) 15/5/2016 47 39 14 55 45
ICM/Guardian (O) 15/5/2016 43 47 10 48 52
ICM 8/5/2016 44 46 11 49 51
YouGov/Good Morning Britain 6/5/2016 42 40 19 51 49
ICM 3/5/2016 44 45 11 49 51
ICM 29/4/2016 43 46 11 48 52
Opinium/Observer 29/4/2016 42 41 14 51 49
ORB/Independent 29/4/2016 49 51 n/a 49 51
TNS 28/4/2016 39 36 26 52 48
YouGov/Times 26/4/2016 41 42 17 49 51
Survation/IG Group 26/4/2016 45 38 17 54 46
BMG 26/4/2016 43 45 13 49 51
ICM 24/4/2016 44 46 10 49 51
ORB/Telegraph 24/4/2016 51 43 6 54 46
ComRes/Daily Mail 19/4/2016 51 40 9 56 44
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 18/4/2016 49 39 8 56 44
ICM/Guardian (O) 17/4/2016 43 44 13 49 51
ICM/Guardian (P) 17/4/2016 48 41 11 54 46
ORB/Telegraph 17/4/2016 53 41 6 56 44
TNS 14/4/2016 39 34 28 53 47
YouGov/Good Morning Britain 14/4/2016 40 39 21 51 49
YouGov/Times 12/4/2016 39 39 22 50 50
TNS 11/4/2016 35 35 30 50 50
ComRes/Sun 10/4/2016 45 38 17 54 46
ICM 10/4/2016 42 45 12 48 52
YouGov 7/4/2016 40 38 21 51 49
YouGov 4/4/2016 39 38 23 51 49
ICM 3/4/2016 44 43 13 51 49
ORB/Telegraph 3/4/2016 51 44 5 54 46
Opinium/Observer 1/4/2016 39 43 18 48 52
TNS 29/3/2016 35 35 30 50 50
BMG 29/3/2016 41 45 14 48 52
ORB 28/3/2016 51 49 n/a 51 49
ICM 24/3/2016 45 43 12 51 49
ComRes/ITV 20/3/2016 48 41 11 54 46
ICM 20/3/2016 41 43 17 49 51
Survation 19/3/2016 46 35 19 57 43
ICM 13/3/2016 43 41 16 51 49
ICM 6/3/2016 40 41 19 49 51
YouGov 3/3/2016 40 37 18 52 48
YouGov 2/3/2016 40 35 19 53 47
YouGov 1/3/2016 39 37 19 51 49
ICM 29/2/2016 41 41 18 50 50
ORB 25/2/2016 48 52 n/a 48 52
YouGov/Times 23/2/2016 37 38 25 49 51
BMG 23/2/2016 44 41 15 52 48
ICM 22/2/2016 42 40 17 51 49
ComRes/Daily Mail 22/2/2016 51 39 10 57 43
Survation/Mail on Sunday 20/2/2016 48 33 19 59 41
Ipsos MORI/Standard 16/2/2016 54 36 10 60 40
TNS 15/2/2016 36 39 25 48 52
ICM 14/2/2016 43 39 18 52 48
ComRes/ITV 14/2/2016 49 41 10 54 46
ICM 7/2/2016 41 42 17 49 51
YouGov/Times 4/2/2016 36 45 19 44 56
YouGov 28/1/2016 38 42 20 48 53
Ipsos MORI/Standard 25/1/2016 55 36 9 60 40
BMG 25/1/2016 44 42 14 51 49
ComRes/Daily Mail 24/1/2016 54 36 10 60 40
ICM 17/1/2016 42 40 17 51 49
Survation/Mail on Sunday 16/1/2016 38 42 20 48 53
Panelbase 14/1/2016 42 45 12 48 52
ICM 11/1/2016 44 38 18 54 46
Ipsos MORI/Standard 14/12/2015 58 32 10 64 36
ComRes/OpenEurope 13/12/2015 56 35 8 62 38
ICM 13/12/2015 42 41 17 50 50
ComRes (O) 11/12/2015 41 41 18 50 50
ICM 06/12/2015 43 39 17 52 48
Survation/ADDE 03/12/2015 40 42 18 49 51
YouGov 24/11/2015 41 41 18 50 50
ICM 22/11/2015 45 38 17 54 46
ORB/Independent 19/11/2015 48 52 n/a 48 52
BMG/Evening Standard 17/11/2015 43 43 15 50 50
Survation/Leave.EU 17/11/2015 43 40 18 52 48
ICM 15/11/2015 43 38 19 53 47
Survation/Leave.EU 11/11/2015 39 43 19 47 53
ICM 08/11/2015 46 38 16 55 45
ICM 01/11/2015 44 38 18 54 46
ICM 25/10/2015 45 38 17 54 46
ORB/Independent 25/10/2015 53 47 n/a 53 47
YouGov/Prospect 20/10/2015 42 40 17 51 49
Ipsos MORI 19/10/2015 52 36 12 59 41
ICM 18/10/2015 44 38 18 54 46
YouGov/University of Kent 12/10/2015 51 49
ICM 11/10/2015 45 36 18 56 44
ICM/VoteLeave 7/10/2015 44 39 17 53 47
ICM 4/10/2015 42 38 20 53 47
ComRes/Daily Mail 28/9/2015 55 36 8 60 40
ICM 27/9/2015 45 38 17 54 46
YouGov 17/9/2015 38 40 22 49 51
ICM 13/9/2015 43 40 17 52 48
Survation/Mail on Sunday 4/9/2015 40 43 17 48 52
Referendum wording changed
YouGov 19/8/2015 44 37 20 54 46
Ipsos MORI 2/7/2015 52 31 17 63 37
ORB/Independent 21/6/2015 55 45 n/a 55 45
Ipsos MORI/Evening Standard 16/6/2015 66 22 12 75 25
YouGov 11/6/2015 43 36 21 54 46
YouGov/Prospect 2/6/2015 44 34 21 56 44
YouGov 2/6/2015 42 35 22 55 45
ComRes/Daily Mail 31/5/2015 58 31 11 65 35
ICM 31/5/2015 43 35 22 55 45
YouGov/Sunday Times 22/5/2015 44 36 20 55 45

Basic swingometer

Advanced swingometer