The full table for YouGov’s Sunday Times poll are now up here. On the regular leader trackers Cameron’s net rating is minus 25 (from minus 27 last week), Miliband’s minus 21 (from minus 24), Clegg’s minus 59 (from minus 55). This is Clegg’s worst rating so far… though not quite the worst YouGov have had for any leader, Gordon Brown did get worse a couple of times.

YouGov asked some more specific questions on how David Cameron was seen. His worst rating, as usual, was on being seen as out of touch. 66% thought Cameron was out of touch compared to only 23% who saw him as in touch. 52% think he has run out of ideas, compared to 32% who think he has plenty of ideas. 47% now see him as weak, though 38% still see him as strong. His better ratings are 40% who see him as decisive (47% indecisive), and 42% who see him as likeable (44% dislikeable).

Alternative Conservative leaders are all seen as likely to do worse than Cameron. 43% of people think Boris Johnson would make a worse leader compared to 23% who think he would do better, 42% think Michael Gove would do worse compared to only 6% who think he would do better (though 32% say they don’t know enough about Gove to say), 59% think Osborne would do worse with only 3% who think he’d do better. Closest to Cameron is William Hague – 28% think he would do better compared to 32% who think he’d do worse.

On the House of Lords, asked specifically about the governments proposed reforms of the House of Lords 44% of people say they support them, 28% are opposed and 28% don’t know. A majority of both Labour and Lib Dem voters support them, Conservative supporters are pretty evenly split. While people tend to support the proposals, only 17% of people say they should be a priority at the moment and, given the failure to pass the programme motion, 48% of people say the government should abandon them at the present time. 32% think the government should keep on trying.

Turning to the coalition, a majority of people still expect the coalition to last until the election (30%) or until shortly before it (24%), only 12% expect it to end in the next year… up from only 7% in May, but nevertheless still very small. Asked about what they would LIKE to happen, 43% of people would like to see the coalition end within the next year. Unsurprisingly this is mostly made up of Labour supporters, but just over a quarter (27%) of Tory voters would like to see the coalition end within the next year. If the coalition did end 64% of people would like to see a fresh general election, including majorities of Labour and Liberal Democrat supporters. Tory voters would like the Conservatives to continue as a minority government in the event the coalition fell.

On the LIBOR scandal, 49% of people say that George Osborne should apologise, 30% say he shouldn’t. It splits, as one might expect, strongly along partisan lines. 77% of Labour voters say he should apologise, 60% of Tory voters say he shouldn’t.

Finally on long term care 78% of people say they would support a cap on charges for long term care. Asked about where this should be, most people tended to go for the lowest option available (35% said it should be below £35,000, 13% £35000, 24% a higher figure). 60% of people say they would support means-testing age related benefits like the winter fuel allowance to help pay for this, 52% would support extending national insurance to people over retirement age to help pay for it.


Tonight’s YouGov poll for the Sunday Times has topline voting intention figures of CON 34%, LAB 43%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 7%. Neatly enough, these are also the average figures for voting intention in YouGov polls this week. As usual I will do a proper post on the Sunday Times results tomorrow once the tables are up.


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Two new polls tonight. YouGov’s daily poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 34%, LAB 42%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 7%.

There is also new poll from Opinium (althought it was actually conducted between Tuesday and Thursday last week). Topline figures there with changes from June are CON 30%(-1), LAB 40%(-2), LDEM 9%(+1), UKIP 9%(nc).


Tonight’s YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 35%, LAB 42%, LDEM 9%, Others 15%. Looking at YouGov’s polls over the last fortnight or so the current picture in the daily trackers seems to be roughly CON 33-35%, LAB 42-44%, LDEM 7-11% so tonight’s is towards the “Tory-end” of recent polls, but not outside the normal range.


Tonight’s YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 35%, LAB 44%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 6%, so still very much in line with YouGov’s recent polling which has Labour leads of around about nine or ten points.

This morning there was also some YouGov polling on Europe, full tabs here. It showed support for a referendum on Europe, but as we’ve discussed here before, people almost always express support for a referendum on almost any question you ask about. More interesting were people’s preferences on the various sorts of referendum that have been suggested. 20% would prefer a referendum to give the government the mandate to renegotiate, 25% would prefer a referendum following renegotiation, 35% would prefer a straight in-or-out with no renegotiation.

Asked how they’d vote in the three types of referendum, in a straight in-or-out 31% of people would vote to stay, 48% would vote to leave (21% say they don’t know or that they wouldn’t vote). In a referendum prior to renegotiation, 61% say they would vote to support renegotiation, 15% would oppose it. Finally YouGov asked how people would vote if the government renegoiated British membership and then David Cameron recommended a yes vote (basically the equivalent of what Harold Wilson did in 1975) – in those circumstances 42% say they would vote to stay in, 34% said they would vote to leave.

Also interesting were a pair of questions asking what people considered the best and worst things about the European Union. Asked what the best features were free trade was by far the top, picked by 41% of people. It was followed by the freedom to live in other European countries (21%), ensuring peace and stability in Europe (21%) and co-operation on issues like the environment and terrorism (19%). In terms of what people considered the worst things about the European Union, immigration from Eastern Europe was seen as the worst thing (45%), followed by interference in how member countries run their affairs (40%), the single currency making the financial crisis worse (32%) and the cost of membership (31%).