Tonight’s YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 44%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 7%, remaining steadily within the margin of error of the 9-10 point Labour leads that YouGov have now been showing for a good month. We are now on the verge of the Summer silly season when political news largely stops. This week, of course, we have the latest news of charges from the phone hacking investigation but come Friday the news agenda will be dominated by the Olympics for weeks and I would expect political activity to ground to a halt.

That said, I remember saying pretty much the same thing a year ago before the riots broke out, so no doubt now I have typed this events will again conspire to prove me wrong!

The full tables for the weekly YouGov/Sunday Times poll are now online here, this week concentrating on George Osborne and the Olympics. Topline figures are, as mentioned in yesterday’s update, CON 34%, LAB 43%, LDEM 11%, UKIP 7%. On the regular leader trackers Cameron is at minus 23 (from minus 25 last week), Miliband at minus 20 (from minus 21 last week), Clegg at minus 53 (from minus 59) – slight recovery from Clegg from his worst ever figures last week, but otherwise steady.

George Osborne’s ratings remain very low – only 15% of people say he is doing a good job compared to 55% a bad job. Asked if he should stay in his role 20% of people think he should stay Chancellor, 48% think he should be replaced – very similar figures to those in the ComRes poll in the Independent on Sunday. Naturally a large chunk of this is Labour supporters, but even amongst Conservative voters only 48% think he should stay with 26% wanting him replaced. Asked who should replace him 47% of people say don’t know, indicating the relative lack of public awareness of most of the candidates. Vince Cable comes top with 22% (and is the most popular choice amongst Labour and Lib Dem voters), followed by William Hague on 16% (the most popular choice amongst Tories).

Confidence in the government on the economy has dropped since January – back then 38% said they had confidence in Cameron & the government to steer the country out of the economic crisis, that has now dropped to 33%. Over the same time period there has also been a turnaround in opinion on the deficit: back in March 38% thought the deficit should remain the priority with 34% saying the government should switch to a growth strategy. That has since gradually turned around with today’s figures showing 31% thinking the deficit should remain the priority, 43% supporting a switch to a growth strategy.

Turning to the Olympic questions, 44% of people say they are interested in the Olympics and 37% the Paralympics. 15% of people say they will be watching as much as possible of the Games, 29% that they will be watching the sports they are interested in. 20% of people say they will be doing their best to avoid watching the Games at all. 53% think they will be a success, 26% think they will not (a very slight fall since we last asked in May – back then 55% thought they would be a success, 22% did not). Asked whether, with hindsight, we were right to bid for the Games people are now evenly split – 44% say we were, 44% say we were not.

There are are also split opinions on how well the Games have been prepared for – 45% think they have been handled well, 47% badly. There is a lack of confidence that the transport system will be able to cope (only 25% have a lot/fair amount of confidence), and people are divided over whether they have confidence in the security provision – 45% say they do, 48% do not. On the specific issue of the lack of security guards, a majority (61%) of people think this is mostly the fault of G4S.