YouGov/Sunday Times – 42/38/12

YouGov’s voting intention figures for the Sunday Times tomorrow are CON 42%, LAB 38%, LDEM 12% (!). That is YouGov’s lowest score for the Liberal Democrats since October 2007 (and for the record, October 2007 saw them at 11%, immediately before and after Ming Campbell’s removal as leader).
Of course while we give a lot of [...]

YouGov/ITV Wales poll – UPDATE

An update on YouGov’s Welsh Assembly polling for ITV earlier in the week. YouGov now also have the regional figures on their website here, so along with the constituency figures we already had, the full figures are:
Assembly constituency vote: CON 20%, LAB 40%, LDEM 13%, Plaid 22%
Assembly regional vote: CON 20%, LAB 37%, LDEM 14%, [...]

David Miliband narrowly ahead in YouGov Labour leadership poll

We finally have a proper poll on the Labour leadership contest. In the Sun tomorrow YouGov have a poll of Labour party members, and of members of affiliated trade unions. Full results are here.
Amongst Labour party members David Miliband leads on first preferences, with 38% support, though Ed Miliband is not far behind on 32%. [...]

YouGov/Sun – 42/36/14

YouGov’s daily voting intention figures are CON 42%, LAB 36%, LDEM 14%. Government approval is back to +5 (41% approve and 36% disapprove), bouncing back from a very tight +2 yesterday.
YouGov also had a new Welsh Assembly poll for ITV Wales out today. Constituency voting intention, with changes from last month, are CON 20%(+1), LAB [...]

Ipsos MORI – 40/38/14

Ipsos MORI have published their monthly politial monitor for Reuters. The topline voting intention figures are CON 40%(+1), LAB 38%(+7), LDEM 14%(-5). I always urge some amount of caution with great big shifts in support, but in this case we have already seen Labour increasing their support into the mid 30s and the Lib Dems [...]

ICM/Guardian – 38/34/19

There is a new ICM poll in this morning’s Guardian. The topline figures, with changes from the previous ICM poll in late June, are CON 38%(-3), LAB 34%(+3), LDEM 19%(+3). That’s a bouncing back for the Lib Dems from 16% in the previous poll and the first survey to show the Conservatives below 40 since [...]