Posted on December 29th, 2009 by Anthony Wells
The Green Party have just released an ICM poll of Brighton Pavilion that shows them leading the Conservatives by 8 points in the seat with Labour in third place.
Clearly the Greens have commissioned it for their own purposes, and one should always look carefully at polls commissioned by political parties – they aren’t releasing those [...]
102 Comments »
Filed under: ICM
Posted on December 27th, 2009 by Anthony Wells
Naturally I wouldn’t expect any polls in the next few days, so in the meantime here’s a Christmas toy to play with – a nice graphical version of my swingometer. Before you click on any links, it uses Javascript and SVG, which Internet Explorer does not yet implement, so if you are an IE user [...]
89 Comments »
Filed under: Uncategorized
Posted on December 21st, 2009 by Anthony Wells
After the wild moves in Ipsos MORI’s last two polls, which showed the Tory lead tightening to 6 points and then spiking back to 17, we’ve almost the mirror image from ComRes. Their last poll showed a 17 point, and tomorrow they have a new poll in the Independent that shows a sharp reduction. The [...]
164 Comments »
Filed under: Communicate, Voting Intention
Posted on December 21st, 2009 by Anthony Wells
There is a new ComRes poll in tomorrow’s Indy. The full poll is embargoed until 10 o’clock, but the Indy’s Political Editor Andrew Grice has already blogged that the Conservative lead is down to 9 points. I’ll put up a full post at 10.
22 Comments »
Filed under: Communicate, Voting Intention
Posted on December 20th, 2009 by Anthony Wells
The full tables for MORI’s poll are now available here.
A notable finding there is that economic optimism has significantly dipped since the PBR, down from plus 10 last month to minus 4 now. I think this is the first poll on economic optimism since the PBR, but is entirely in line with the YouGov/Sunday Times [...]
83 Comments »
Filed under: MORI, Methodology
Posted on December 19th, 2009 by Anthony Wells
After an amusing mountain of speculation, including vast amounts of twittering about the Conservative lead being down to 3 points according to “reliable sources”, Ipsos MORI’s monthly poll has finally turned up in the Observer. The topline figures are CON 43%(+6), LAB 26%(-5), LDEM 20%(+2).
The shift from MORI’s previous poll, which showed a Tory lead [...]
60 Comments »
Filed under: MORI, Voting Intention
