Posted on February 27th, 2009 by Anthony Wells
The full tables from the YouGov poll in the Telegraph are now online here.
As I suspected, the poll doesn’t show that immigration is the “top issue” for anybody. The question actually gave people a list of 10 policy aims and asked which ones people would most like the Conservatives to do – so what it [...]
43 Comments »
Filed under: YouGov
Posted on February 26th, 2009 by Anthony Wells
YouGov’s monthly poll for the Telegraph has topline figures, with changes from the previous YouGov poll, of CON 41%(-3), LAB 31%(-1), LDEM 15%(+1).
While the poll still shows them at 40% and with a double point lead, the poll suggests a slight fall in Tory support. It’ll be interesting to see if that is reflected [...]
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Filed under: Voting Intention, YouGov
Posted on February 25th, 2009 by Anthony Wells
Years ago I slated the BBC for commissioning a poll about religion and trying to draw conclusions about people from different religious groups using pathetically small sample sizes. They are at it again in this poll.
The ComRes poll found that 63% of people agreed with the statement that “Our laws should respect and be [...]
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Filed under: Methodology
Posted on February 23rd, 2009 by Anthony Wells
ICM’s monthly poll for the Guardian has voting intention figures, with changes from their last poll, of CON 42%(+2), LAB 30%(+2), LDEM 18%(-4). It was conducted between the 20th and 22nd of February.
The raw changes from the last Guardian poll obviously suggest a sharp fall in Lib Dem support, with both Labour and the Conservatives [...]
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Filed under: ICM, Voting Intention
Posted on February 23rd, 2009 by Anthony Wells
Over at Political Betting Mike Smithson is taking John Rentoul to task for saying in his Sunday column that the polls could be overrepresenting Labour support by up to 5 points, and the Conservatives may only need a lead of 3 points to win. Mike is right to do so.
Polls back in 1992 vastly overestimated [...]
23 Comments »
Filed under: Methodology
Posted on February 19th, 2009 by Anthony Wells
In the last few days a couple of people have asked about local government by-elections and whether we can tell anything about national levels of support from them, and I promised I would write a post about it. I have always been dubious in principle about whether local government by-elections can be used to gauge [...]
23 Comments »
Filed under: Uncategorized
