YouGov August Tracker

YouGov’s monthly poll for the Telegraph has topline figures, with changes from their last poll, of CON 45%(-3), LAB 26%(nc), LDEM 16%(nc).
The Conservatives are down slightly compared to the last YouGov poll carried out for Compass a week ago, but that one in turn had seen them rise 3 points. The bigger picture is [...]

Not as simple as that…

The polls have been largely static for the last three months, showing Conservative leads between 13 and 24 points.
Written like that, it doesn’t sound so static does it? Say the position was closer between the main parties, no one would describe a situation where polls were showing results varying between a 6 point Labour lead [...]

The state of Labour’s core vote

A new Harris poll in the Financial Times (full tables here) gives an interesting look at the state of Labour’s core vote.
Harris found 13% of people who said they had always voted for the Labour party. While this sounds low for the party’s absolute core vote, remember that turnout at the last election was [...]

22 point Tory lead from YouGov

Tucked away in the Observer there is also news of a YouGov poll for Compass which shows broad support for a one off windfall tax on “oil companies recent profits”. 67% supported a windfall tax, 13% opposed it.
Full tables for the poll are here and also include a voting intention question. Topline figures, with changes [...]

Latest ComRes poll

A new ComRes poll in the Independent on Sunday has topline voting intention figures – with changes from the last ComRes poll – of CON 46%(nc), LAB 25%(+1), LDEM 16%(-2). Once again the position appears to be pretty much static. The poll was conducted on the 20th and 21st August.

Brown vs Miliband

Both ICM and YouGov asked people about Brown and Miliband in their recent polls. In YouGov’s poll 21% of people thought Miliband would be a better Prime Minister than Brown (unfortunately YouGov didn’t give the alternative of him being worse than Brown – only of not being better). 11% of people told YouGov they would [...]