Posted on May 30th, 2008 by Anthony Wells
Mark Blumenthal over at Pollster.com has drawn my attention to this article by David Runciman in the LRB which, amongst other things, complains about quite how “rubbish” polls in the USA are with their 600-700 samples, compared to “1000-2000″ samples in the UK.
I haven’t been following particularly close attention to the US polls (why would [...]
2 Comments »
Filed under: USA
Posted on May 29th, 2008 by Anthony Wells
YouGov’s monthly poll for the Telegraph, the first since the Crewe by-election, is another appalling result for Labour. The topline figures, with changes from YouGov’s last poll, are CON 47%(+2), LAB 23%(-2), LDEM 18%(nc).
The Conservatives now have a 17 point lead on the economy and David Cameron has a 22 point lead as best [...]
117 Comments »
Filed under: Voting Intention, YouGov
Posted on May 29th, 2008 by Anthony Wells
Despite the Crewe and Nantwich by-election’s impact on the media’s view of politics, we are still awaiting the first poll since the by-election. The result of the by-election came too late for a full poll in time for the last week’s Sunday papers, and it looks as though all the pollsters avoiding doing anything over [...]
23 Comments »
Filed under: Round up
Posted on May 23rd, 2008 by Anthony Wells
Everyone will know the result of the Crewe and Nantwich by-election by now, but what about the polls during the campaign, how well did they do? By-election polls have been a rare creature in recent years, but such was the attention paid to this contest that we saw three of them, two from ICM and [...]
86 Comments »
Filed under: Methodology, by-election
Posted on May 21st, 2008 by Anthony Wells
Over on Bloggerheads Tim Ireland dismisses a poll on Abortion quoted during yesterdays Parliamentary debate as “being conducted by the Christian Institute [so] it’s on him if the poll turns out to have been conducted on the back of a hymn sheet in a church car park.”
The tables for the poll are here, and while [...]
37 Comments »
Filed under: Abortion
Posted on May 20th, 2008 by Anthony Wells
Looking at the rest of the questions in the ICM poll, they are unremittingly dire for the Prime Minister. 45% of people who voted Labour in 2005 think the government are not “working in the interests of people like me”. 71% of people think they have run out of ideas (including 39% of people who [...]
26 Comments »
Filed under: ICM, Labour
