Tories down in March ComRes poll

ComRes’s monthly poll for the Independent has topline voting intentions with changes from last month of CON 38%(-3), LAB 31%(+1), LDEM 17%(nc). Unlike ICM and YouGov’s polls since the budget, there is no obvious Conservative leap here, in fact, their lead over Labour has narrowed and they are back under 40%. The poll was conducted [...]

Shooting the messenger…and missing

When politicians are asked about unflattering polling figures it’s a tricky question to answer – what can you say? “The poll shows no one likes me and I’m going to lose”? Most politicans resort to the time honoured cliches of there being lots to play for or “the only poll that counts is on polling [...]

Boris 10 points ahead in Mayoral race

Not confimed yet, but apparently a new YouGov poll for the Standard has topline voting intentions, with changes from their last poll, of JOHNSON 47% (-2), LIVINGSTONE 37% (nc), PADDICK 10% (-2), Others 5%. With no candidate getting over 50% support, the second preferences of other candidates would come into play. This poll shows second [...]

Details from YouGov’s monthly poll

The YouGov poll in the Telegraph is now up here and the full tables are on the YouGov website here. The full voting intentions are CON 43%(nc), LAB 29%(+2), LDEM 17%(+1).
The other standard trackers all paint an equally bleak picture for the government, on the forced choice question (which I always tend to think of [...]

YouGov/Telegraph shows Tories 14 points ahead

A fortnight ago, shortly after the budget, YouGov produced a poll showing a startling 16 point Tory lead, which at first glance looked like an obvious rogue. A couple of days later though an ICM poll showed a 13 point lead, suggesting that the double-point Tory lead was genuine and the budget had somehow led [...]

Round up

We are still in the period when no one really should be publishing any polls, since the fieldwork would have had to have been done over the Easter weekend. Here’s some things to keep you amused.
Firstly, over at the Election Guide part of the site I have – by popular demand – added the Northern [...]