The Brown Boost

Two new polls in Saturday’s papers show Labour back in the lead as the “Brown boost” takes effect. A YouGov poll in the Telegraph has headline figures, with changes from the last YouGov poll, of CON 35% (-2), LAB 38% (+3), LDEM 15% (+1). An ICM poll in the Guardian has CON 35% (-2), LAB [...]

Expectations of Brown and Cameron

There is a new YouGov poll in today’s Economist – it was carried out prior to Gordon Brown becoming Prime Minister, so we still await the first opinion poll actually conducted with Brown in office.
YouGov asked about whether people thought a Brown or Cameron government would or would not do a number of things. Looking [...]

More from the YouGov/Sky News poll

As mentioned below, the voting intention figures in the YouGov poll for Sky News were actually prompted using the names of the party leaders, so aren’t comparable to normal voting intention figures (though they do tell an interesting story in themselves, showing Labour doing better with Brown – only 1 point behind the Conservatives – [...]

New constituency boundaries come into force today

The Privy council approved the new Parliamentary boundaries a fortnight ago, meaning they officially come into force today. From now on any general election would be fought on the new Parliamentary boundaries. By-elections in this Parliament – such as the forthcoming ones at Ealing Southall and, by all accounts, Sedgefield will continue to be fought [...]

YouGov poll – hold your horses!

Sky News have released a new YouGov poll showing voting intentions of CON 37%, LAB 36%, LDEM 12%(!). It appears to be the lowest Conservative lead in a YouGov poll since last September, and the lowest level of Liberal Democrat support in any poll since 2001…except, it isn’t actually a standard voting intention poll.
Look carefully [...]

Communicate give Conservatives a 5 point lead

Communicate’s monthly poll for the Independent is out. The headline figures with changes from their poll last month are CON 37%(+2), LAB 32%(+1), LDEM 18%(-1). The poll was conducted between the 22nd and 24th June, so fieldwork would have been conducted after Gordon Brown’s job offer to Liberal Democrat lords, and just after the end [...]