Posted on August 2nd, 2010 by Anthony Wells
Was pretty much the gist of what Chris Huhne said on the Marr programme yesterday. I rather like that response – I hate it when politicians resort to the cliches of “I never pay attention to polls” (course you don’t, just like all the other politicians don’t) or worse “the only poll that counts is [...]
441 Comments »
Filed under: Lib Dem
Posted on April 28th, 2010 by Anthony Wells
The Guardian has a new poll of Liberal Democrat target seats here. I think this is the first such study of these seats, which have suddenly become key to the election result. ICM polled the first 42 seats on this list, seats where the Liberal Democrats need a swing of up to 6% to win.
The [...]
71 Comments »
Filed under: ICM, Lib Dem, Marginals
Posted on April 27th, 2010 by Anthony Wells
The same point keeps coming up in comments – if there is some great surge of young voters backing the Liberal Democrats, would it be picked up in the polls?
The short answer is that it should be. Pollsters in the UK do not weight their samples to match the demographic profile of voters, they weight [...]
104 Comments »
Filed under: Lib Dem, Methodology
Posted on April 18th, 2010 by Anthony Wells
So, we can be pretty confident now that there is a genuine surge in Lib Dems support. Apart from how long it lasts, and the affect on the narrative of the election, the other unknown is exactly who has shifted, and perhaps more importantly where. We will get a better idea of how things are [...]
310 Comments »
Filed under: Lib Dem
Posted on December 7th, 2009 by Anthony Wells
It’s another one for John Rentoul’s “Questions to which the answer is no”. An article by Sam Coates in the Times says that “Labour’s election planners believe an 8-point gap between the current party of Government and the Tories can be closed. They say that a third of Lib Dem voters have suggested that [...]
27 Comments »
Filed under: Labour, Lib Dem
Posted on September 15th, 2008 by Anthony Wells
Populus’s annual conference poll, in which they include questions they can publish before each of the three conferences, is one of the few times we can guarantee to get some questions asked about the Liberal Democrats. This year is no different.
On one front the poll has good news for them. It reveals a very positive [...]
26 Comments »
Filed under: Lib Dem
