“The Herald poll apparently showing Labour back in the lead surprised everyone, psephologists included, who had expected a continuation of the SNP winning streak. The polling organisation MRUK wasn’t one of the usual suspects, and the SNP insisted that there was something decidedly murky about their sampling technique. They had put the questions during March 23-25 but had then sat on them for a fortnight.”

perhaps they have their own doubts about the veracity of the information contained in the poll?

The SNP have been publicly dismissive of the MRUK poll, but the issues that seems to have made them privately relaxed ( certainly from the campaign people I know), are the ones regulars her will be fmiliar with.

1,000 isn’t a large sample, we don’t know the methodology, phone polls can be effected by te circle of silence ( it gives the Tories a low score), It’s a first poll so we can’t assess it for trend, it runs counter to almost everyone elses, they aren’t recalling nor do they seem to be filtering for previous voting to create a balance.

As ever of course it could be that all the other polls are wrong, but no one I know in the SNP believes that.

Please post what you find about the methodology I know i’ll be interested ( as will a few prominant people I know).

Peter

Poll was carried out by MRUK but detailed figures etc were not published.