A few people have asked me if I know where there is a spreadsheet of the general election results available so they can crunch the numbers and explore results themselves. Until now I’ve been using results scraped off the BBC website, but the British Election Study team have now released a data set of the election results for download here.


420 Responses to “Spreadsheet of the General Election Results”

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  1. @ OldNat

    I have a recollection of memory that he withdrew and thus and vote would be zero.

  2. Is it true the Libs have more ex-leaders than MP’S?

  3. MrNameless

    30% of not a lot is still not a lot. :-)

    Having looked at the figures tonight though I think the Lib Dems should be reasonably optimistic about picking up 10-14 seats from the Cons with a fairly modest recovery/swing at the next election.

    I would expect that there is likely to be a return of some anti-Tory tactical voting element in 2020 after a Tory government and without the lead-weight of an unpopular Clegg dragging the party down.

  4. Wolf

    LiS have 6 times as many!

  5. Gary O
    “I would expect that there is likely to be a return of some anti-Tory tactical voting element in 2020 after a Tory government and without the lead-weight of an unpopular Clegg dragging the party down.”

    It might not all go to the Libdems. A lot depends on the referendum results and how UKIP vote holds up. At this stage 2010 is even more unpredictable than 2015. Suppose for instance that there is a referendum on membership of the EU and the vote is to leave. That would bring a huge upheaval in support for the various parties.

  6. “Pity the SDP. Their two candidates this time around got 71 and 54 votes respectively.”

    Perhaps a change of initial: GDP in the UK is the most wonderful thing in the world as we know it (apparently); SWP – perhaps not; SNP – now you’re talking.

  7. Prof Howard
    K Dugdale would be well advised to think twice about the Scottish Labour leadership. She is very good and an outstanding prospect. However you must try to understand the current nature of politics in Scotland.
    The minute she is elected she will be the subject of unlimited savage attack. She will be screamed at to her nose, proclaimed as a suitable target for “community justice” and haunted on social media. Her nationalist father will, sadly,be ready to undermine her on her own social media. I don’t think it is in her best interests to go forward at present. Though if she did I would support her.
    Labour has had as many leaders in Scotland in the last eight years as the UK Labour Party has had since M Foot. As R Davidson said on hearing of J Murphy’s resignation, it is a hard gig.

  8. Barney

    “She will be screamed at to her nose”

    Oh, come now. Surely Labour SEC meetings aren’t quite that bad.

  9. Pete B

    True but the Lib Dems do have the benefit of historic support in certain areas – potentially these are people that they can win back – and they are still in strong 2nd places in at least 25 Tory-held constituencies.

    Against Lab they will probably struggle more as there is only really Cambridge which is a close potential target before they have to stretch for the likes of Burnley and Bemondsey and Old Southwark with fairly large majorities.

  10. @ Barney Crockett

    It’s really not for here.

    Yes, nationalists are boasting, but they happen to have a good reason. I know how hard it feels – I witnessed the fall of state socialism (I had no feeling for the party leadership, but had a terribly strong feeling for the people, constantly having Virgil in my mind – but it is really a loser attitude.

    You have to decide on the timescale but perhaps Marxism and the National Question would be a good starting point (unless I’m crucified for the author of the named pamphlet).

  11. Lazlo

    One of the troubles with Stalin’s argument was that his definition of a nation as “a historically constituted, stable community of people, formed on the basis of a common language, territory, economic life, and psychological make-up manifested in a common culture”, like many attempts to model social structures from a particular predetermined political perspective, is simultaneously partial, over extended and intellectually deficient.

    With a definition like that, it’s easy to argue against it.

  12. He perhaps should have added “including areas that are conquered by the Red Army, forcibly depopulated then colonised by ethnic Russians” to his definition of nationhood.

  13. Neil A

    To be fair, since the pamphlet was written in 1912 and directed against Austrian Marxists, that may not have been possible. :-)

  14. He could have added it later, you know, once he’d realised that imperialism is fine too…

  15. @ OldNat

    It’s 1 am, so I really won’t answer the fully.

    I don’t think it’s intellectually deficient – he did a pretty good add on in his lecture to the Conference of the Eastern People’s. He clearly tries to tie it up already in the pamphlet. There is more than than the definition, moreover he tries to nuance it.

    The pre-classification is a problem, I would agree with that, having said that the entire social science (unfortunately) operates with these. I meet that every day.

    Oddly, most of the attempts to define nation relates to this definition (even if they shy away from naming the source). His other definition (in Linguistics) is better and worse at the same time.

    Even more oddly (I do have a problem with the way he interpreted dialectics in this work – defining the boundaries of the components), it seems to me that a lot of the debates about independence and the GE were about components of his definition. So, it has a political meaning.

    Labour, if they want to do anything in Scotland, have to understand how social structures are interwoven with the notion of nation. I still think that that pamphlet is a good starting point. If for nothing else, rejecting false perceptions.

  16. @ Neil A

    It’s great to read that a Brit accuses the Russians with imperialism …

  17. Is that how it works? Once a country has done something, all of its citizens must never mention it again? No American can accuse someone of racism? No Frenchman can accuse someone of tyranny? No Serbian can accuse someone of ethnic cleansing? No Hungarian can accuse someone of fascism? Good to know.

  18. Lazlo

    Agreed about the lateness of the hour! I’m off to bed.

    Also agreed that understanding how people interact (both well and badly) in social structures should be fundamental for any politician who wants to improve peoples’ lives (which is want most of them want to do) is important.

    Political theorists, however, too often simply cherry pick examples that are designed to suit their theories. You and I were both educated under the strictures of dialectical materialism – you under state socialism, me under the Whig school of history.

    Both philosophies, of course, allowed the political elite to pursue imperialist expansion – as the Americans and Chinese now do in their turn.

  19. @ Neil A

    I would like if many Hungarians were accused with blatant racism and fascism.

    However, with contexts, the whole thing looks different just as with the Americans, the Soviet Union, the United Kingdom, Russia, etc. it doesn’t remove individual responsibilities, or make bad good or vice versa.

    But, suddenly the boundaries of the accusations become clear. To give some examples.

    Today’s Russian intention of regional hegemony are distinctly different than the SU in 1944-45. And they intervened in 1956 and 1968 for very different reasons, and they didn’t intervene 1981 ((I know it as I I was serving my time then). They had a conflict with China in the 1970s for a very time-defined reason, and it was very harsh. There is actually very little historical continuity.

    My point, originally, was, if I may restate it, that if Labour wants to do anything about Scotland, it has to understand how social structures, elites, and nation are woven together.

  20. @ OldNat

    Sorry I missed the Whig school reference. I think you were better educated. I had to take extra lessons (actively discouraged) during my UG and MA to catch up with the thoughts of the unnamed school of thoughts. It helped me a lot to build my understanding (even if it is tainted by my CE influences :-)). It still works, as long as it is an analytical framework …

  21. @Anthony

    Can we expect any new polls soon? Or are all of the pollsters still licking their wounds?

  22. Neil A
    Just wanted to say that I’m pretty sure LASZLO IS A SPY!
    :)

  23. @Adam Kennedy

    I hope so.

    I don’t think debating dialectical materialism is going to get anyone very far on a polling site!

  24. RAF,

    “I don’t think debating dialectical materialism is going to get anyone very far on a polling site!”

    You haven’t read “Marxism Today, but then neither have I!

    I do love Barney’s little rant about the plight of the next LiS Leader.

    So sad that a Party that has had the slavish support of over 80% of the Scottish Press for five decades should be subject to people who don’t agree with it expressing an opinion.

    Maybe he should change his handle to Black Kettle as his comments about the SNP on here are every bit as vicious as the ones some in the SNP make about Labour.

    I do wonder if he lives in a Glass House in Aberden.

  25. Good Morning All, from a wet Bournemouth beach this windy Monday Morning.
    BARNEY CROCKETT.
    Thank you for your post at this time of testing, it was interesting to see the Prime Minister and Nicola Sturgeon having such an amicable chat.
    One day the polls will move in a new direction. Politics is a tough business; for Labour in Scotland it is challenging but important for UK Labour too.
    It hard to get a Labour PM into Downing Street and a Tory PM out of Downing Street, without a strong Labour in Scotland.

  26. @NeilA Is that how it works? Once a country has done something, all of its citizens must never mention it again? No American can accuse someone of racism? No Frenchman can accuse someone of tyranny? No Serbian can accuse someone of ethnic cleansing? No Hungarian can accuse someone of fascism? Good to know.”

    _____________________________

    Welcome to the 2015, Political correctness in its finest left glory. Don’t get too bogged down on it, I learnt that several months ago. Some people are bent so far to the left it’s amazing they’re able to stand without falling over!

    One of the saddest declines of society in my view… We are possibly one of the only countries left who have no sense of ”national pride” because of fear it will insult someone. Yesterday Norway celebrated their national day, the Dutch have their kingsday, the Americans have Independence day (etc). Gosh, in this country even flying the flag of St.George, or the Union Jack, is murkey water…

    I wish we had some polls to discuss… Perhaps we need to do a UKPR poll on something…. anything… just a poll….please?

  27. BARNEY CROCKETT

    I do remember that Toby Harndon and James Cook both from different tv stations noting that there was a very high level of personal unpleasantness in Scottish policies. Toby contrasted it with Northern Ireland where he reported in turbulent times and said the level of personal unpleasantness was much worse in Scotland.

    These are worrying comments for those of us who place importance on civility in public discourse. I am not sure why this is the case or what can be done, other than by setting the best possible example to others in our own manners.

  28. @Gary O

    I wouldn’t be at all sure about that. Much of the existing LD vote in those constituencies – which are, demographically, good Tory territory – will have been in support of existing incumbents who are now gone and who earned their seats off the back of strong local organisations that will, I assume, now be struggling (massive council losses too over the last four years). The LDs will have to build from the bottom up again. Getting five seats back in 2020 would be a good result. Anyway, lets leave the 2020 election to one side for a little while!

  29. Catoswyn

    Time for another contest.

    How about the new Labour leadership, both leader and deputy?

    I’ll go for Andy Burnham and Liz Kendall respectively.

    Not my choice, but that is how I think it will pan out.

    In case of a tie-break:

    Chuka Umunna – Shadow Chancellor
    Yvette Cooper – Shadow Home Secretary
    Dan Jarvis – Shadow Defence Secretary
    Tristram Hunt – Shadow Foreign Secretary
    Mary Creagh – Shadow Health Secretary

    Having rather dismissed the choices available, it actually doesn’t look like a bad team – young, gender-balanced, forward-looking and reasonably media-savvy.

    I think they will sell Andy B and Liz K as a partnership/team rather than a leader and sidekick.

  30. I should have added, in case of a ‘golden goal’, Stella Creasey for Education and Ben Bradshaw for Culture, Media and Sport.

  31. jstephenson
    All of the national days you mention are celebrated in Aberdeen. Norway’s day was last week and national dress etc was on display.

  32. @Millie
    Do not think you will be too far off there.

  33. I find it almost impossible to feel even the remotest sense of sympathy for Clegg.

    “Greater love has no one than this, that someone lay down his friends for his life.”

  34. @Millie

    Burnham leader, Creasy deputy (Kendall can’t become the latter by standing for the former).

    I’ve backed the favorite Burnham at 6/4. He’s ahead of Cooper and the rest in both the Sunday Times polling (including the sub-break for Labour 2015 voters) and the Labour List readers survey of Shadow Ministers. That suggests that he is the membership’s favorite.

    Given that Kendall and Hunt are so strident about how Labour needs to appeal to “middle England”, it’s ironic that neither of them does personally (negative YouGov ratings for both ABC1s and for all voters in general) in contrast to Burnham.

    What I found striking in the Sunday Times polling was the net “make a good Labour leader” v “bad Labour leader” ratings of 2015 UKIP voters:
    Burnham +3
    Umunna -9
    Creagh -11
    Kendall -12
    Cooper -12
    Hunt -12

  35. A typically thoughtful piece by Pat McFadden in this morning’s Times.

    He warns against a frantic re-assembly of gender ,dialect, & faction balanced deck chairs before understanding why they collapsed last time.

    Wise words.

  36. I assume that the on line pollsters are busy polling to find out why their on line sampling is faulty.

    Nevertheless, oh, for a poll, my European Super State for a poll !

  37. I presume they are going back to their respondents Howard, and asking them why they lied :-)

  38. @PeteB

    “At this stage 2010 is even more unpredictable than 2015. ”

    I predict Con 307; Lab 258; LD 57 UKIP 0; SNP 6 and you can hold me to that!

  39. On the Labour leadership election, am I right in thinking they now want to have one of each sex in the two leadership positions. Also is there a suggestion that after the leader is elected there will be an opportunity for those not selected to stand for Deputy?

  40. Colin
    :)

    Yes, actually that is one of the things they have to discover, namely whether there is a ‘lying element’ and whatever could be the reasons for doing so. We have discussed ‘shy; voters (fill in your party of choice) but these were confined in our imagination to phone polls.

    On the phone polls, they generally displayed a ‘Toryish’ tendency but all converged with the on line polls towards the end. The reasons for that would be well worth following up, but can they? I mean, do they keep a record of those they have sampled?

  41. NeilJ

    No, you are incorrect. It does not apply if both are being elected at the same time.

  42. @barney crockett – Why would you celebrate Norway’s constitutional day last week, when it was writen on 17th May? I assume you’re also talking about the Norwegian population of Aberdeen? I got back from Oslo this morning, having been there visiting the Wife’s family for the weekend and the celebrations.

    I was more pointing to the fact there is no National day/sense of national pride in the UK. I personally think that should be addressed… The odd event brings the country close (Royal wedding/Olympics), but there is no national celebration. The 3 examples I used were all from firsthand experience, and even if you’re a foreigner (like I in norway) you’re still welcomed and there was a great sense of pride and unity. Kignsday in Holland is another example, everyone in Orange having a good time.

    I honestly believe lack of national pride is a huge underlying issue in the UK; one which no political party has addressed. Financially the UK is very attractive to live/invest in, but the feeling generated in the UK is pretty depressing (based on myself comparing it to the 5 countries I’ve lived – and that is not the fault of Con or Lab.. It’s been many years on a downhill slope).

  43. Tactic number one in leadership election is not to run for deputy at the same time. It makes you look too flaky to be leader and too ambitious to be deputy.

    That was mistake made by Bryan Gould in 1992, although he would have probably lost anyway.

  44. MILLIE and HAWTHORN and PHIL HAINES:
    That new team looks quite strong, in my opinion.
    Harriet Harman is doing well, I think to ‘steady the-still afloat-ship.

    NORBOLD:
    I think that Lib Dem figure looks a little high, and I think in 2015 it will be a little lower.

    A Mr J.Thorpe used that ‘greater love has no man’ line against Macmillan to great acclaim over the sacking of his ‘dry’ malcontents.

  45. JSTEPHENSON
    I was more pointing to the fact there is no National day/sense of national pride in the UK. I personally think that should be addressed…

    Perhaps part of the problem is that the anniversary of what’s left of the current union is already a public holiday – January 1st – as that’s when the 1800 Act came into effect in 1801. Alternatively, one could regard the current UK as having commenced on 18 April 1949 when the Ireland Act 1949 came into force, recognising the loss of the 26 counties.

    I’m personally unsure whether promoting the UK anniversary on either date would receive much popular acclaim.

  46. CHRISLANE1945

    Thanks, I couldn’t remember who had used it before! That makes the quite even more delicious.

    I am just pleased that there seems to be an understanding that being neither hard-left nor Blairite-ultra is the way forward.

    I was impressed by Burnham over the weekend, he showed good political nous.

  47. quite = quote

  48. NeilJ

    There is still more than 3 weeks until Labour leader/deputy nominations close.

    I would predict one or more leader candidates will withdraw, back someone else, and instead apply to be Deputy in that period, thus creating dream/nightmare tickets for the expectant electorate which includes 3 votes in the Borderer household.

    Personally I would still like to see Jarvis and Starmer in the field. The poll of UKIP voters is very relevant. Not ” Blairite aspirational” are they ? They are a now the most important group for Labour to appeal to. We need a socially conservative and economically radical non Blairite non Southern Leader for that. Moreover that may also be the right formula in Scotland. Wales too. Burnham is at last making the right noises on Europe but they need to go further – Labour must allow pro and anti EU supporters full freedom to campaign in the referendum as in 1975. A policy Labour should also have adopted in the Scottish referendum which might have saved them from total meltdown.

  49. @ Adam Kennedy

    There was the tracking poll and I linked it yesterday, but for some odd reason, nobody wanted to discuss it. But just in case, here’s the link to the tables:

    https://d25d2506sfb94s.cloudfront.net/cumulus_uploads/document/gxvihxoixc/SundayTimesResults_150515_Website.pdf

    (RAF is of course right with is comment).

  50. @Peter Cairns and @Oldnat – I think your responses to @Barney regarding the Dugdale candidacy were a little off balanced and partial.

    I know you both wish to paint the political scene in Scotland as somehow balanced, with agression and abused meted out to LiS/No campaigners equal in scope and measure as that handed out to the SNP and Yes side, but I would have thought you could both now take a break after the GE result and simply admit that this isn’t so – as every objective assessor of the situation can see.

    There have been obvious cases of trolling and abuse on both sides, for sure, but the venom directed to Labour campaigners on the street has been striking, and many completely unconnected people siding with BT have also been subject to levels of pressure that are not acceptable within a properly functioning democracy.

    Examples are legion. They range from university Vice Chancellors receiving telephone calls from government ministers expressing concern over university staff chairing BT meetings in a completely personal capacity, to businesses being told to avoid speaking out in favour of the union or face losing contracts, to the street antics of filming people in their own homes when they answer the door to LiS canvassers.

    To deny that parts of the political scene in Scotland has descended into an overly aggressive, nationalistic and divisive battle, simply demeans your own stance on here.

    I have experienced this myself, both online and in person. I’ve never before been in a pub and asked some simple questions about ‘what’s so bad about Labour’ to face threatening abuse. It was genuinely quite shocking and saddening for me, and Mrs A was none too pleased either. Simply raising the question was enough to be branded as a ‘traitor’, ‘English scum’, etc. Awful experience.

    Something is wrong in Scottish politics, and the SNP bear a greater share of the blame for this than anyone else. When independent journalists compare our country unfauvorably to Northern Ireland during the troubles, I think it’s fair to assume things have gone a little askew.

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