We have three GB polls due in the Sunday papers, Opinium in the Observer, ComRes in the Sunday Indy/Sunday Mirror and YouGov in the Sunday Times. We have the first two already, YouGov will follow later on tonight or tomorow morning.

Opinium have topline figures of CON 33%(+1), LAB 35%(+1), LDEM 8%(+1), UKIP 14%(-1), GRN 6%(-2). Both the main parties up one point and last week’s two point Labour lead remaining unchanged. Tabs are here.

ComRes have topline figures of CON 32%(-1), LAB 34%(nc), LDEM 7%(nc), UKIP 16%(-2), GRN 4%(+1). The Conservatives down one point, so both polls show a two point Labour lead, but neither show any significant change compared to their previous poll. This month’s ComRes poll also had a bank of questions asking people whether Ed Miliband or David Cameron would be better on various issues. On their usual strengths and weaknesses Cameron leads by 25 points on having the qualities needed in a leader, 23 on managing the economy and 16 points on immigration; Miliband leads by 10 points on the NHS (and I expect would lead on being in touch with ordinary people if it had been asked – the overall picture on questions like this is influenced by what measures are asked about!). Given the current political agenda though the topical measure is “more effective at cracking down on tax avoidance” – there 31% think Miliband would be more effective, 31% Cameron.


155 Responses to “Latest Opinion and ComRes polls”

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  1. “Whether this would have a ‘shy Tory’ effect is a second stage of conjecture as there would seem to be other homes for the votes to go to. Though as Farrage has a German wife and Clegg’s spouse is Spanish – if xenophobia extends to Prime Ministerial consorts then there limited options!”

    Dao Dao’s occasional Buchanesqe warnings against the rootless metropolitan are possibly a bit out of time. It may, however, well be my political leanings that lead to my having barely given any thought to the fact that my granddaughter Miriam is one quarter Jewish and one quarter Japanese, a sixteenth Indian Muslim and a sixteenth Irish. I shall have to keep an eye on her, instead of thinking of her as a bright and bonny wee Scottish lass.

  2. @AW

    Thanks for this – I hoped someone would have the information at hand as I thought it at least possible the question had been asked.

    Reassured by how sanguine most people are on the matter.

    And agree that how little people know about politicians is as interesting as their reaction to the religious (or ethnic as Miliband is secular Jewish) background of a prospective PM.

    Living in a politically engaged bubble as we do, it’s sometimes hard to remember that most people are neither that interested in party politics nor politicians most of the time.

    4% of the Labour vote prepared to admit to considering a change is a long way off @DAODAO’s 10% will change, but not wholly insignificant.

    My concern – from a perspective of decency rather than the result for any party – is that this slither of political advantage would considered significant enough for any party – or more likely wing of the press, to make Miliband’s ‘background’ a campaign issue. Surely the effect could only be corrosive.

  3. I suppose we might also question what is meant by a Jewish prime minister.A
    practising Orthodox Jew would be rather different to someone of Jewish descent who finds reason to support the grievances of the Palestinians.

  4. As far as I am aware the only Jewish Prime Minister was Disraeli – and he had to disavow his heritage to get the job. Hopefully times have changed.

  5. @Ericgoodyer

    I believe it was Disraeli’s father who disavowed the faith, not Benjamin. It was far from uncommon, there are churches in London that still proudly list the numbers of Jewish converts during the 19th century.

    Had Disraeli Jr still been practising I’m pretty sure it would have been an effective bar on his becoming PM.

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