This week’s YouGov/Sunday Times poll is up here, with topline figures of CON 32%, LAB 33%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 15%, GRN 8%. The rest of the poll included questions on Labour and business and on intervention in Iraq.

The Conservatives are seen as having the best policies towards British business by 33% to Labour’s 19%, exactly the same split as on the economy in general. A Conservative victory at the next election is seen as being a good thing for British businesses by 44% of people, a bad thing by 23%. In contrast 43% think a Labour victory would be bad for British business, just 19% think it would be good. These questions don’t, of course, tell us whether people want a government to be good for business – when YouGov asked what the government’s attitude should be towards big business only 38% think government should primarily be supporting and helping big businesses in Britain, 49% think government should be doing more to stand up to them.

Turning to those business leaders who have criticised Ed Miliband this week, 45% of people think that the bosses of large companies should remain politically neutral, compared to 38% who think they have every right to comment on politics. There is sharp political divide on the question – Tory voters think by 59% to 31% that company bosses should intervene in politics, Labour voters think by 59% to 26% that they should keep out of politics. The idea of a CEO living in Monaco and not paying British taxes commenting on British politics goes down particularly badly, with 73% saying the intervention of Stefano Pessina is not acceptable. Nevertheless, people tend to think the criticism from business leaders is genuinely felt – 54% think business leaders are criticising Labour because they think their policies are genuinely bad for British business, 48% think they are doing do for political reasons (these includes 22% who think they are doing so for both reasons equally). 52% think that the Labour party is damaged by the comments.

YouGov also asked about intervention against Islamic State/ISIS. British air strikes against ISIS are now supported by 63% of people. YouGov asked this question very regularly last year when Britain began air strikes against ISIS, back in October 59% supported it, this is now up to 63%. 56% of people would support increasing the level of British air strikes against ISIS, but people remain opposed to putting US and British ground troops back into Iraq. 32% would support sending group troops back into Iraq, the same as when YouGov asked in October.


278 Responses to “YouGov/Sunday Times – CON 32, LAB 33, LD 7, UKIP 15, GRN 8”

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  1. @Cloudspotter

    Think of it. A person with the right access can theoretically manually gain access to a television room’s conversation.

    I’ll be the more questionable people in the media are looking forward to that. TV hacking scandal anyone?

    Or maybe it will just be the governments that abuse it, and snoop on people in their own homes. Deary me.

  2. Typo…”I’ll bet”

  3. Polls will fluctuate but, I think Labour have a deep seated problem. Apart from their Northern British issues with the SNP, they are not connecting with aspirational voters nationwide. They must address this sharpish.

  4. I was told that the built in cameras on laptops, tablets & some smartphones can also be remotely activated without the user knowing i.e. you can be filmed in your home without being aware that it’s happening.

  5. JASPER22

    The tories, despite still lagging in the polls slightly, are in much better heart than labour.

    Labour will be traumatised if they can’t get into government in May.

    I have been frankly amazed at how much of a meal the reds are making of this. I mean not to be able to get rid of Cameron and Osborne, after 5 years of declining living standards, with UKIP where they are, is stunningly inept.

    Mili is the weakest link in all this. he is a terrible leader for labour, yet they still remain disciplined, to an extent.

  6. RAF
    I have seen some grasping at straw in my time but you really take the BAFTA. Calm down dear, the Tories will probably be 7 points behind tomorrow.

    PS When I say “take the BAFTA”, I must admit that you have never constantly discussed or demonstrated great support for homosexuality. Last nights Gayfeast on the BBC was nothing more than a hour and a half advert for same sex relationships.
    If a straight male had leered, slobbered and sexualy commented to every woman in the room in a similar fashion, he would be (rightly) castigated as a sex fiend.

  7. CLOUDSPOTTER…………….Worrying, mind you, their comments policy leaves something to be desired. :-)

  8. @Roland

    I have no idea what you are talking about. I pointed out a couple of facts about polls and you launch into one about the Baftas?

  9. @PETER CRAWFORD
    Of course I agree with you, but don’t forget the issues Labour have to contend with. Just because a dozen or so stalwarts on this board think Labours economic record is brilliant, that is not the universal view.

  10. Roly

    Be assured, my dear dear boy, that no one would ever accuse you of sharing a universal view. :-)

  11. RAF
    Well I could have said “take the biscuit”, but I tried to be topical and said BAFTA. The rest just flowed. Apologies (to you, not the BBC.)

  12. PETER CRAWFORD

    This pretty much typifies the point you are making:-

    https://yougov.co.uk/news/2015/02/09/why-voters-dont-labours-stance-business/

    Cons of course are not without there paradoxical perceptions among the electorate-Competent but heartless isn’t a sure fire winner is it ? :-)

  13. @OLD NAT
    Well you see, that particular universal view is not universal, so I can have a very firm opinion on it. Good Job in Scotland by the way.

  14. osborne and cameron have been pretty inept too, let’s face it. The omnishambles budget was, in narrowly political terms, the worst budget in 50 years. if you look at the polls, which i know were rudimentary, even Thatcher’s “no hope” budget in 1981 wasn’t so damaging.

    The rise of ukip has also put a ceiling on tory support, as the old right has splintered.

    The one thing keeping the cameroons and ozzie in the game is Mili…labour haven’t been trusted on the economy at any point this parliament, largely because they haven’t had the guts to challenge the tories on this issue. I was amazed after attacking the autumn statement in december, they changed the conversation to the NHS in January….

    a Karl Rove would have told them to attack the tories on their strong point, and leave doubts in the voters minds, but they retreated to their comfort blanket. very uninspiring. I can see why chunks of the political left are looking elsewhere. the bestselling book of 2014 was a book denouncing inequality, there’s plenty of meat for the left in the economic field. I am firmly on the right, but even I can see that a left wing party with some passionate leadership could do well.

  15. PETER CRAWFORD

    Agreed. It baffles me that Lab aren’t ahead. sadly, Ed Miliband [is perceived as awful] is dragging his party down. All very sad.

  16. Sadly, I only see it getting worse for Labour.

  17. @JASPER22
    Unfortunately, one mans sad, is another mans happiness. I am being in no way sarcastic, when I say that I am equally baffled about the poor Tory performance. Buggering about in the low 30’s. We cannot get away from our own political blood group.

  18. The volatility figures in Tabke 3 of Ashcroft are quite stunning.

    33% of Labour, Conservative, PC and SNP could change their minds, 40% of UKIP and 58% of Green and 61% of LD. Enough to drive a politician to drink,

    The notion of UKIP running neck and neck with Green in Wales and southwest seems a little bizarre and UKIP at 23% in the North.

    The trendline for UKIP appears down, with Labour only leading in one region, the North. Mixing Wales with the southwest is not a good idea.

  19. I don’t know why everyone assumes it would have been easy to win this election for labour,i look at it the opposite way. how Cameron didn’t win a 50 to 100 seat majority against a labour party led by the deeply unpopular Gordon brown is beyond me. when the tories lost power in 97 they were out for 3 elections. now labour is still in with a 50/50 chance of winning with not a great leader. that should be deeply worrying for tory supporters ,helped as they are with bags of money,sycophantic support in the media and a smooth charismatic leader.
    if I was a tory I’d be asking myself why are we only in the low 30s support?

  20. Why are posters suggesting Labour should be doing better in the polls? The last Labour Government has still not been forgiven for the financial crisis under their watch.
    Its not Labour who should be traumatised if they don’t win the General Election its the Tories if they fail to win. Its nearly 23 years since the Tories last won an outright majority and the way things are heading it will end up being 28.

  21. Just to add I agree with all you say Paul M. Despite a virulent anti Labour press they may still finish with the most seats.

  22. New thread

  23. One post here, I think it was by Spearmint, was the most important that I have read.

    She said, if it was Spearmint) that voters always vote for the left, but the left is divided into different parties, and that lets in the Conservatives.

    I had n’t thought of that, but checking the post war election vote shares in my Pears Cyclopedia, I think that she has said something fundamental.

    In 1955, the Conservatives had 50 per cent of the vote, presumably that included the Northern Ireland Unionists as they were the Conservative and Unionist Party then. Labour and Liberal combined had 49 per cent, and there others to make up the other 1 per cent.

    In all other years since the war, simply adding the Labour and Liberal vote shares gives a higher number than the Conservative vote share. The last election in 2010 was like that. Therefore Spearmint is right.

    If the parties of the left are defeated, the reason is that they are divided. It is not that they lack support from the voters.

    A question I would like to ask, is “What is going to happen after this General election?”

  24. “RAF

    @Roland

    I have no idea what you are talking about.”

    Blimey: there’s a turn up.

  25. @ADGE3

    Too crude an analysis, I fear. You can’t really count Liberals on the left other than in respect of social policy. On economic matters Liberals are just as likely to be economic “liberals” as they are social democrats. In fact if we just take the Liberals (and not the LDs) they were far more of the economic liberal type – almost libertarian.

  26. Agreed RAF. There will be a significant proportion of Lib Dem voters on the right wing of the party who are closer to Con than Lab

  27. @RAF
    In asking whether Liberal Democrats are left of centre, I took a look at wikipedia which reported a survey that said 60 per cent of Lib Dems would regard themselves as centre-left. Of course they may be other things as well.

  28. “In asking whether Liberal Democrats are left of centre, I took a look at Wikipedia”

    Simpler to ask a bona fide Liberal Democrat: they can tailor which side of centre they are to precisely suit your individual preference.

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