We have our usual three Monday polls today:

The weekly Lord Ashcroft poll has topline figures of CON 27%(-6), CON 33%(nc), LDEM 9%(nc), UKIP 17%(+3), GRN 6%(nc). The drop in Conservative support looks striking, but is probably largely a reversion to the mean after the unusual neck-and-neck Ashcroft poll last week. Tabs are here.

The twice-weekly Populus poll meanwhile has topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 37%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 12%. Tabs are here.

Finally the daily YouGov poll for the Sun tonight has toplines of CON 33%, LAB 35%, LD 7%, UKIP 14%, GRN 5%.


704 Responses to “Latest YouGov, Populus and Ashcroft polls”

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  1. Colin
    Burnham has been very much out of sight in recent months. He never struck me as a likely winner in the leadership contest. You think he might be now? Well when Milliband stands down. Yvette Cooper seems to be the favourite, although she strikes me as lightweight, like the rest of the Labour front bench. Like the Tories were 10 years ago. No obvious leader.

  2. It is his policies for NHS I fear Robert.-I read his Conference speech.
    It got a terrific ovation.

    He has moved way to the left & is pressing buttons which are making him very popular in the Labour Party.

  3. The sheer refusal of Labour to poll below 35-38%, no matter what for the last 4 years, should delight Labour and be of genuine concern to the Tories, especially given the more efficient Labour vote distribution.

    Labour seem to have a core vote ‘locked in’ no matter what, and that will hand them a workable majority. I’m seeing a 2005 margin of victory all over again – 36% vote share, sizeable majority.

    For years we’ve been hearing about ‘swingback’, ‘economic competence’, ‘prime ministerial’ etc and how this will mean a certain Tory victory. And it’s turning out, in the dynamics of coalition and fixed-term parliaments, to be totally wrong. As many of us have been saying with increasing certainty that it would be.

    EM has buckets of manure poured over him by the press on a daily basis. It is for nothing. It hasn’t shifted VI one iota and indeed when it was particularly intense after the Euro elections Labour VI increased.

    I think it’s time to face the facts. Labour have a core vote + left-wing LD defectors who simply are never going to vote Tory. And I should know, being an ex-LD myself. Barring some kind of unforseen catastrophe, Labour have 2015 in the bag.

  4. By the way, and on a much lighter note, what’s going on at Gleneagles? USA lead 2.5 to 1.5 after this morning’s fourballs. Time for a Euro surge in this afternoon’s foursomes.

    Sadly, I’ll miss the singles shoot-out on Sunday because I’m in Bratislava for a long weekend, partly to enjoy a bit of well regarded Slovakian beer and wine, and Austrian too if I can get the train for a day trip to Vienna, but also because it allows me to escape the likely carnage at Stamford Bridge where Villa go visitin on Saturdayg.

    Ken – if you’re lurking; take pity on us, please!

    :-)

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