The very last pre-election poll of the referendum campaign is by Ipsos MORI, for the Standard, and has topline figures of YES 47%, NO 53%. Once again, it is bang in line with all other other companies, who to a man (or woman) have YES between 47%-49%, NO between 51-53%. Full result for the MORI poll will, in due course, be here.


292 Responses to “The final poll – Ipsos MORI/Standard YES 47, NO 53”

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  1. Ray

    It’s called “playing the odds”

    If No wins comfortably, no-one will care what a “well-placed Labour source said. If YES wins, there are some “well-placed Labour sources” who would very much like to use the opportunity to have a pop at EM and GB.

  2. @JB

    Another reason for unattributable “Labour sources” to downplay the possibility of No winning is that winning by 2% when you were expecting to lose sounds much better than winning by 2% when you were expected to walk it.

  3. The high turnout is good whoever wins. I’m not going to be able to stay up for the results because I’m old and got work tomorrow. :-(

  4. @ Jayblanc

    You have reassured me, I think. North Lanarkshire due at 00.45 apparently.

  5. Most continental European countries would have declared by now. Still don’t understand why the verified votes cannot be declared (especially as it’s a yes or no.

    Computers have been invented (partly on these isles).

  6. Clackmannanshire declares for NO 88.8% turnout NO54% 46% YES

  7. SNP predict NO win in Wet Lothian

  8. @ RAF

    “I don’t see how an English Parliament would be “dominant”. The Californian state legislature does not dominate Arizona.”

    Yeah but you wouldn’t believe how much friction there is between local and state government entities.

  9. West Lothian of course.

    Orkney declares for NO 83.7% turnout 67 % NO 33 %YES

  10. Shetland declares for NO 84 %turnout 64 % NO 36 % YES

  11. Eilean Siar declares for NO 86.2 %turnout 53 % NO 47 % YES

  12. Inverclyde declares for NO 87.4 % turnout NO 50.1 % YES 49.9 %

  13. Renfrewshire declares for NO 87.3 % turnout NO 53 % YES 47 %.

  14. Dundee declares for YES 78.8 % turnout NO 43 % YES 57 %.

  15. West Dunbatonshire declares for YES 87.9% turnout NO 46 % YES 54% .

  16. Midlothian declares for No 8 % turnout NO 56 % YES 44% .

  17. East Lothian declares for No 87.6 % turnout NO 62% YES 38%

  18. Stirlingshire declares for No 90.1% turnout NO 60% YES 40%

  19. Falkirk declares for No 88.7% turnout NO 53 % YES 47 %

  20. Angus declares for NO 85.7 % turnout NO 56 % YES 44%

  21. Dumfries declares for No % turnout NO 66 % YES 34 %

  22. East Renfrewshire declares for No 90.5% turnout NO 63 % YES 37%

  23. East Dunbartonshire declares for No % turnout NO61 % YES 39%

  24. Aberdeen declares for No % turnout NO 59 % YES 41%

  25. North Lanarkshire declares for Yes 84 % turnout NO 49 % YES 51 %

  26. Perth and Kinross declares for No 87% turnout No 60% YES 40%

  27. South Lanarkshire declares for No % turnout NO 55% YES 45 %

  28. Glascow declares for Yes 75 % turnout NO 47 % YES 53 %

  29. North Ayrshire declares for No 84% turnout NO 51 % YES 49 %

  30. South Ayrshire declares for No 86.1 % turnout NO 58 % YES 42 %

  31. East Ayrshire declares for No 84.5 % turnout NO 53 % YES 47 %

  32. After 26 results BBC forecasts NO vote – dear me.

  33. Scottish Borders declares for No % turnout NO 67 % YES 33 %

  34. West Lothian declares for No % turnout NO 55 % YES 45%

  35. Aberdeenshire declares for No 87% turnout NO 60% % YES 40 %

  36. Edinburgh declares for No 84 % turnout NO 61% YES 39 %

  37. Argyll & Bute declares for No 88% turnout NO 59 % YES 41 %

  38. Fife declares for No 84.1 % turnout NO 55 % YES 45 %

    That is it No wins.

  39. Moray declares for No % turnout NO 58 % YES 42 %

  40. Highlands declares for NO 87 % turnout NO 53 % YES 47 %

  41. Right I am going to get some sleep but before I go one quick observation. It looks like the SNP allies in the YES camp delivered a fair few voters in Glasgow and some Labour areas.

    If anyone has failed to deliver a YES vote who seem not to have persuaded their traditional support to vote in sufficient numbers.

  42. I must confess I’m relieved with the decisive ‘No’ vote, which settles the matter for now at least. What next though ? I don’t see any viable new federal arrangement for the UK without regional English assemblies, English voters, however, have consistently rejected the idea of regionally elected bodies or additional layers of government between local authorities and Westminster.

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