Looking at the search terms people are arriving at the site using there are already fewer people looking for candidate information, and more people searching for exit polls. Straight answer is that there are none, and there won’t be any.

These days the only real exit poll done is the BBC/ITV shared exit poll for general elections. They are extremely expensive and difficult to do, so they simply don’t get done for any other type of election (as Nick Moon of NOP, who along with MORI normally organise the general election exit poll, puts it they are an extremely expensive way of finding out something a couple of hours early).

It’s also illegal to publish any form of exit poll before the polls are all closed. For European elections that doesn’t just mean the polls need to be closed in Britain, they need to be closed across the whole of the European Union. This means it would be illegal to publish an exit poll before 10pm on Sunday (and given that the returning officers are allowed to start counting earlier in the day on Sunday, so long as they don’t announce the results until 10pm, any exit poll would be useful for even less time than usual!).

That means you’ll have to wait for proper results. For local councils, counting starts in about half the councils tonight, with results in the early hours of the morning. The other half will start counting tomorrow morning with results in the afternoon. For the European elections the counting of the votes can start during the day on Sunday, but actual results won’t be released until 10pm.


253 Responses to “Looking for exit polls?”

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  1. Anthony will have a better idea but I vaguely remember being at a count where a heart was allowed. It’ll depend on the RO but I should imagine if the scrutineer for the benefiting candidate puts up a fight the RO would probably give in.

  2. Good Evening All.
    West Southbourne Ward, Bournemouth.

    Just for the EU Parliament Elections.
    Very busy, which is good.

  3. Hi All I’m new to this but am very very passionate about politics.
    Won’t comment yet as to how I ‘swing’ but look forward to bantering/arguing/liking with you bunch.
    Mark

  4. @MSmithsonPB: Based on reports from all over country EP14 turnout looks set to top the best ever, 37.6% in 2004, by quite a margin. Could it get to 40%?
    Posted this on the old thread

  5. martyn

    Ta for your concern and info.

    Re GP, just painkillers. But going back tomorrow as something has gone worse – probably through the driving to hospital – and the pain is quite intense.

    Feels like I have torn a ligament but since I never have and therefore have no idea what that actually WOULD feel like that doesn’t help much.

    Suffice to say it hurts a lot but I am practising my repertoire in bed on an old guitar anyway – like the hero wot I am.

    Paul

  6. Meanwhile in the search for stories attacking UKIP, you must admit that this one has everything:

    http://www.mirror.co.uk/news/uk-news/ukip-candidate-peter-lello-arrested-3585403

    Rightly, because of the nature of the charges, even the Guardian handled to story fairly discretely, but given that the actual arrest was last week the appearance of the story on the eve of poll is interesting.

  7. discrete and discreet are two different words meaning two different things.

    I felt I should mention that, as discreetly as possible, without even mentioning ROGER MEXICO’s name.

  8. Well, here’s an exit poll for the EP.

    CDA: 15,4 %, PVV 12,7%, PvdA 9,3 %, VVD 12,1 %, D66, 15,3 %, GL 7,2 %, SP 10% CU/SGP 7,9 %.

    Yes it’s Dutch. Get this – the Liberal Democrats D66) are expected almost to top the poll with ‘Conservatives Lite’ (CDA) on 15.4 who just lead.

    Dutch UKIP (called PVV) are to lose 4% from 2009.

    Cameron and Clegg will be very envious!

  9. Frankly I am not sure we should read too much into the 1st month of the financial year figures.
    VAT receipts were up but strangely income tax receipts were down by nearly 7%. How does that figure wuth 3.1% growth?
    Business investment grew and manufacturing activity grew.
    Borrowing last year was below the predictions.

  10. Dear Thurrockmark,

    How you swing should be a matter for you and your tailor only.

  11. @ThurrockMark – Actually it’s in the site rules that you shouldn’t really disclose your affiliation at all, which is an excellent rule.

    Welcome – did you vote today?

  12. Ah the joys of knocking up on Election Day…we always called the sheets Mikardo pads, (does anyone still call them that?) and I always thought my political innocence ended when I was firmly reprimanded by an old hack for arguing on the doorstep – don’t waste time doing that son, just find out if the buggers are voting for us and get out quick if they aren’t …and definitely don’t knock on any doors when Corrie is on.

    I also remember a lovely old lady who would always charm a lift to the polls for one party knowing they were the last people she would put a cross against….

    So I salute all the shivering souls at the polling stations politely asking for the poll cards, and the late evening knockers tying vainly to get someone to the polls…. Surely the unsung heroes of democracy.

  13. THURROCKMARK
    We don’t have ‘likes’ on UKPR (thank goodness). Anthony has provided a ‘don’t like’ facility which I hope none of us uses.

  14. I’ve been discharged from active duty as Oliver Coppard, the Sheffield Hallam PPC, claimed I looked too tired. I’ve resigned myself to canvassing the student accommodation for the last hour.

    Lots of voting activity up in Crookes ward, and I’m quietly daring to hope that we might take it. We saw a Lib Dem leafleter we’re 90% sure was paid, as well as LD MEP Edward McMillan-Scott and their council candidate.

    Counting isn’t until tomorrow, but I’ll let you know how we got on. Now to rest my weary feet after 20 miles of walking.

  15. Jonboy

    Just an easy going start…..

    My polling station was reasonably busy, passed a few ppl going out, started a little queue when I went in….
    My prediction (for what it’s worth….)
    UKIP 29%
    LAB 25%
    CON 23%
    LIBS & GREENS 7%

    Really hope I’m under estimating my party but will just have to wait & see….

  16. Balbs

    ‘unsung heroes of democracy’ no – just misguided lost souls I am afraid. I found my way back to normality eventually.

  17. Howard

    Good evening to you too….

    Ok give me a chance to learn….each site is different :-/

    Yes I did vote…. If I didn’t I shouldn’t be on here.

  18. R&D

    Re discrete/eet: Oh I know that. I can just never remember which way round the spelling is. So I got it wrong as usual.

  19. Mr Nameless
    I imagine the ‘riots’ (punch-ups I think) between Roma and Yemeni youth reported yesterday in Sheffield may well have an effect there?

  20. @ ThurrockMike

    Welcome. We also talk footie on here and Thurrock must have about 10 non league football teams within about 5 miles of each other most of them playing in the Ryman League so hope you support one of them.

  21. THURROCKMARK

    You have to give it and take it here, but as you can see from the foregoing postings, we are mercifully spared from the out and out loonies. Welcome to you.

  22. @ MrNameless

    “I’ve been discharged from active duty as Oliver Coppard, the Sheffield Hallam PPC, claimed I looked too tired”

    Can’t have that- you are the official UKPR drinking game organiser and we need you tonight and tomorrow for a 24 hour session!

  23. Evening Chris Green

    Sorry wasn’t ignoring you

    Yep voted & hope it helps my party a little

    Can’t wait for results tomorrow….but I’m up at 4.30 anyway so will hopefully find out then!

  24. SHEV11
    Who’s ThurrockMike?

  25. Howard,

    It was never brought up on the doorstep, and indeed happened in a completely different area of the city. Most common issues brought up were the state of the roads, public transport fares and bedroom tax (odd that since hardly anyone in Crookes has to pay it).

    In Darnall ward where the fights happened, it might have depressed turnout (not that it matters, it’s safe as houses for Labour) so we’ll see when the figures are released.

  26. @Howard

    Changes: CDA -5; PVV -4; PvdA -3; PVV +1; D66 +4; GL -2; SP +3; SGP +1

  27. @Roger Mexico – In only one of those words are the e’s kept discrete from each other – maybe remember it like that.

  28. Shevii,

    At the moment all I want is a shower and an early night!

  29. Just voted in Bromley Town ward. There was steady stream of people heading into the Polling Station but the there weren’t many names crossed off the register.

  30. “it’s in the site rules that you shouldn’t really disclose your affiliation at all, which is an excellent rule.”

    Not something that ole NAT would ever do.

  31. If we’re comparing their parties to ours:

    The wets, kippers, social democrats and Jason Kitcats have lost out to the liberals and socialists, with the Thatcherites and evangelicals gaining a pp, too.

    :P

  32. MRNAMELESS

    That’s useful insight. It proves that if one reads the comment columns of newspapers (as I did the ones about the fights) one is reading a very biased reaction to the article concerned.

  33. My wife got home about an hour ago from Loughborough and said she was too tired to vote. My 16 year old daughter was disgusted by this and proceeded in bullying her until I drove her down to vote.

    While I waited the Tory bloke outside reckoned turnout was about 50%. I told him I was disappointed at the choice for the council between his lot and UKIP. He said yes, it made a change to be the left wing candidate.

    So there you…an amusing blue.

    Wife won’t tell me what she voted which gives me an uncomfortable feeling she might have GOT IT WRONG.

  34. Craig
    there was a typo in your helpful Dutch report, you had two PVVs. I regard the VVD(was PVV in your report) as Orange Bookers -agreed? They held their own, as you report. What is the connection between Green Left and Jason Kitkats? Is that rhyming slang?

  35. Just voted, never seen the polling station so busy! Had to queue behind 15 people and passed a steady stream of people on the walk there.

    Many voters also seemed, like me, for the most part to have been born on foreign shores. Obviously just an anecdote, but I wonder if the UKIP effect has brought out the EU transplants and non UK born in greater numbers than usual?

  36. Try again:

    My wife got home about an hour ago from Loughborough and said she was too tired to vote. My 16 year old daughter was disgusted by this and proceeded in bully*ing her until I drove her down to vote.
    While I waited the Tory bloke outside reckoned turnout was about 50%. I told him I was disappointed at the choice for the council between his lot and UKIP. He said yes, it made a change to be the left wing candidate.
    So there you…an amusing blue.
    Wife won’t tell me what she voted which gives me an uncomfortable feeling she might have GOT IT WRONG.

  37. re Dutch poll – increasingly eurosceptic SP (leftwing socialists) and 50Plus who look likely to win first seats both did well.

  38. @Howard
    Ah, I thought I’d done well remembering/reeling off the acronyms! Yep certainly agreed re VVD being Orange Bookers.

    GreenLeft have had some disillusioning spells in government and stark shifts to the Right during so. Kitcat is perhaps our best comparison.

  39. So this is the pregnant pause before the results come in?

  40. Norbold – thanks for that info, may be more widespread than I thought.

    Glad to say my daugher voted – shamed slightly by her Aunt

  41. @Howard

    More precise figures, here:

    http://oi58.tinypic.com/29fdogk.jpg
    http://i60.tinypic.com/20kavee.png

    50+ have made notable gains, winning a seat, and the Party for Animals have as well(!).

    I took an interest in the Netherlands when the Socialist Party was surging – sadly to deflate at the time of election.

  42. There seems to be a minor but genuine thing among UKIPpers on Twitter telling people to use a pen to vote instead of a pencil.

    As if the LIBLABCON are going to sit and rub out thousands of votes instead of, you know, just throwing them away. If there was a conspiracy, which there isn’t.

  43. My dog wanted to vote with its paws, but wasn’t allowed.

    Lots of parties for the EP elections, but none to my liking (or being able to make a compromise) so the none of the above got it. Local elections – usual, but in this ward Labour under 80% would be a failure.

    Turnout seems to be very, very low.

  44. @Mr Nameless

    More fuel ti add to the persecution complex then.

  45. …to..not ti

  46. “If there was a conspiracy, which there isn’t.”

    I wouldn’t be so sure. I heard it from a very good source today that the Bilderberg group has cornered the world supply of erasers, and is distributing them secretly via Romanian intermediaries right now in sports centres and town halls across the length and breadth of Europe.

  47. Wife and I just voted. Seemed quiet when we got there and the two ladies on duty said that there had only been a ‘steady trickle’. Ballot box seemed almost full, however, and I had to push my paper down quite hard to get it in through the hole. Several people arriving as we left.

    Weather report: chilly but dry. Wind has swung into the north-east.

    Great news about the two fishermen found off the east coast this morning. Best news all day……

  48. @ Richard

    ‘I wonder if the UKIP effect has brought out the EU transplants and non UK born in greater numbers than usual?’

    Yes, I wondered whether this might happen as well; it would be a wonderful unintended consequence if it did, but probably too much to hope for!

  49. http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-27525170

    Looks like Moyes is spending his five mill pay-off enjoying the high life in Cltheroe.

  50. Two questions. I’ll be grateful for some guidance:

    1. What time tomorrow before we’ve a reasonable idea of what has been happening in the NI & English locals? 6 a.m.?

    2. Are we assuming that turnout figures for Locals will be the same as Euros? (I don’t mean the currency!) If so, at least we’ll have a good idea on what sort of numbers voted today, which may give us some hint of the Euro results? Or is this all total speculation?

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