We have another final European poll, this time from TNS. Their topline figures for European voting intention are CON 21%, LAB 28%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 31%, OTHER 13% – much closer than their previous poll which had a nine point lead for UKIP. It’s based on only those certain to vote, but from a four-point verbal scale rather than a 0-10 scale, so it’s not as strict a filter.
In terms of polls still to come, there is certainly a YouGov final poll still in the works. ComRes and TNS have both published their final polls before voting. I don’t know if Survation, Populus, Opinium or ICM who have all polled on the European elections this cycle will produce any new figures before Thursday. MORI so far haven’t polled on the European election this cycle.