Just catching up on another Scottish poll at the weekend – Panelbase produced a new referendum poll for Wings Over Scotland. Topline figures are YES 41%(+1), NO 46%(+1), confirming the narrower lead we saw in the last Panelbase poll in mid-March. Full tabs are here.
There remains a considerable contrast between pollsters on the Scottish referendum so it’s important to compare like to like. Panelbase consistently show the narrowest leads – for much of last year they were showing leads of about 8-10 points, that’s now narrowed to five points in their last two polls. Survation and ICM are also showing single point leads. YouGov and TNS are currently show leads in the mid-teens (though TNS has far more don’t knows than other companies), MORI continue to show leads up in the twenties. A broad range of leads, but the general trend across pollsters in recent months seems to have been a slow drift towards YES. All the polls so far are collected here.
On other matters, Populus’s twice weekly poll this morning had topline voting intentions of CON 34%, LAB 37%, LD 9%, UKIP 14%. Tabs here.