The first of this week’s two Populus polls is out and has topline figures of CON 34%, LAB 35%, LD 10%, UKIP 13%. That gives us three polls in a row from three different pollsters showing the Labour lead down to one point, though it should be noted that Populus do tend to show rather lower Labour leads anyway; they already had a one 1 point Labour lead earlier this month. Full tabs are here.

153 Responses to “Populus – CON 34%, LAB 35%, LD 10%, UKIP 13%”

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  1. @CROSSBAT11

    A very sensible analysis of the situation in your last two posts.

    I will be very interested to see whether the Tory confidence is still so high after the Euro and local elections, The Conservatives face perhaps there biggest challenge at the local elections since the last GE and of course we will see the UKIP potential in the Euros.

  2. I think it’s quite possible that both Labour and the Conservatives will poll in the mid-30s but the effect of an increase in UKIP’s vote and a fall in the LibDem’s could work more to Labour’s benefit in the marginals.

  3. Very interesting point earlier that Labour might just have made a very canny strategic move – accept the whole annuities change rather than opposing – think through the flaws in Osbounes approach, and then trump it with some ideas of their own which builds on Osbourne – perhaps it was a mistake for GO to go ‘all in’ with the changes without consultation as the frothy bit lasts a few days, but the hard work takes a lot longer. Not good news either on the jobs front in the last couple of days.

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