The monthly ICM/Guardian poll is out tonight here. Topline voting intentions are CON 34%(+2), LAB 38%(+3), LDEM 10%(-4), UKIP 11%(+1).
In recent years ICM have tended to show the highest level of support for the Liberal Democrats because of their reallocation of don’t knows (lots of people who voted Lib Dem in 2010 now tell pollsters they don’t know how they would vote – ICM assume 50% of them will end up going back to the Lib Dems). Hence while we’ve become used to seeing the Liberal Democrats in fourth place behind UKIP, this is only the second time the ICM Guardian poll has shown it.
The poll asked about European election voting intentions, finding topline figures of CON 25%, LAB 35%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 20%, Grn 7%. Unlike the YouGov and Survation polls last month they still have the Tories clinging on to second place, but UKIP are still polling above their 2009 level of support. All the European election polls so far are collected here.
Today also had the first of this week’s two Populus polls. Topline figures there were CON 34%, LAB 36%, LDEM 11%, UKIP 12%. Tabs here.