The monthly ICM/Guardian poll is out tonight here. Topline voting intentions are CON 34%(+2), LAB 38%(+3), LDEM 10%(-4), UKIP 11%(+1).

In recent years ICM have tended to show the highest level of support for the Liberal Democrats because of their reallocation of don’t knows (lots of people who voted Lib Dem in 2010 now tell pollsters they don’t know how they would vote – ICM assume 50% of them will end up going back to the Lib Dems). Hence while we’ve become used to seeing the Liberal Democrats in fourth place behind UKIP, this is only the second time the ICM Guardian poll has shown it.

The poll asked about European election voting intentions, finding topline figures of CON 25%, LAB 35%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 20%, Grn 7%. Unlike the YouGov and Survation polls last month they still have the Tories clinging on to second place, but UKIP are still polling above their 2009 level of support. All the European election polls so far are collected here.

Today also had the first of this week’s two Populus polls. Topline figures there were CON 34%, LAB 36%, LDEM 11%, UKIP 12%. Tabs here.


254 Responses to “ICM/Guardian – CON 34, LAB 38, LD 10, UKIP 11”

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  1. This headline in the Metro sums up my feelings.

    “Wallies in wellies: Flood victims face a new deluge – of politicians wading through water.”

    Clearly such images have no effect on voters who have recorded an ‘as usual’ VI.

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  2. Cameron – “money no object”

    Wow, that line is going to come back to haunt him after all his austerity measures!

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  3. “money no object”

    The line inside government is “No blank cheque” according to Nick Robinson. Transport, for example is being allowed to keep their underspend.

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  4. Colin Davis

    Yes I disagree with it. Raising the upper tax level to 75% would have the same effect as it has had in France……………….economic madness!

    and no I would not be paying it so I can be objective.

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