The weekly YouGov poll for the Sunday Times is up here. Topline voting intentions are CON 35%, LAB 39%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 10% – a four point Labour lead.

On the regular leader questions both Cameron and Miliband are doing comparatively well – 41% think David Cameron is doing well as PM, 52% badly, a net figure of minus 11. This equals his best leader rating since the omnishambles budget in 2012 (the only other time he’s got this high was just after the Tory conference last year). Ed Miliband’s net score is minus 28, also up on recent weeks and his best score since last November.

The rest of the poll was a grab bag of various issues:

  • On education only 20% of people think Michael Gove is doing well in his job, 57% think he’s doing badly. Asked about his attitude towards the educational establishment and trade unions only 19% think that he’s right to take a confrontational stance, 46% think the government would be better off listening more to their concerns.
  • A large majority (72%) of people think it is unacceptable for political parties to appoint their own supporters to such roles, but people see the last Labour government as just as guilty of this as the current government – 19% think Labour did it more, 17% think the Coalition have done it more, 48% think they’ve been as bad as each other.
  • 25% of people say they support the underground strike, 40% are opposed, 35% say neither or don’t know. Amongst respondents in London views are not really any more polarised – 28% support the strike, 43% are opposed. Blame for the dispute is almost evenly divided between Transport for London and the RMT.
  • 25% of people think David Cameron has responded well to the floods, 62% badly. Attitudes to spending on flood defences appear to have do shifted substantially – a week ago people were pretty evenly divided over whether the government should spend more or not. Following another week of flooding news, people are now 49% to 26% in favour of more spending.
  • The idea of a 5p charge on plastic bags in supermarkets and stores is widely supported, with 65% in favour, 27% opposed.

Also in today’s Sunday Times is a new Panelbase Scottish poll. Given the narrowing in TNS-BMRB and ICM polls lately I was intrigued as to what the next Panelbase poll would show – for reasons that remain unclear Panelbase tend to show a closer race than other companies. In the event their poll actually shows the gap widening slightly (albeit, nothing that couldn’t be normal sample variation) – YES stands at 37% (down 1), NO at 49% (up 2).

411 Responses to “YouGov/Sunday Times – CON 35, LAB 39, LD 10, UKIP 10”

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  1. Guymonde

    @allan christie

    “No one has phoned me yet. sniff sniff.”

    Give me your number and I’ll pass it on to PensionAdvisors4U

    Thanks for the offer but I’ve already received two begging phone calls. Enough is enough for one night.

  2. @Alec

    “I thought I was the only talking about tyres?”

    You were until the pressure got to you.

  3. @Allan Christie

    “Thanks for the offer but I’ve already received two begging phone calls. Enough is enough for one night.”

    Crikey, was that you? Apologies, I was after that bloke who has just won the Euro Lottery.

    Anyway, many thanks for accepting the reverse charge call.

  4. @Statgeek

    Equally, when someone doesn’t want change, is that for the greater good, or ‘cos it suits them?

    It’s a bit like the plea not to be labelled left or right… sounds good, but then maybe it’d help to not throw the partisan label around…


    Hoi take a hike…Mount Olympus looks good.

  6. Interesting commentary on the potential dangers of playing hardball politics too early in the process.

  7. Wythenshawe turnout “might not reach 20%”.

  8. RogerH

    We’re always happy to see comments on any aspect of politics on a Saltire thread – but I think’ you forgot to go back to the Dining Room to make that comment! :-)

  9. Always interesting when a single question in a poll is released. From any source, that suggests that they see the answers as helping their case.

    i presume it was commissioned by Better Together, since they are the only ones that seem to have publicised it.

    Polling took place immediately after Osborne’s speech.

    The text of the question is always worth noting.

    “If Scotland votes to become an independent country, it would then need to negotiate independence arrangements with the rest of the United Kingdom before becoming
    independent in 2016.
    If Scotland did become independent, would you support or oppose an independent Scotland continuing to use the pound as their currency?”

    The use of “need to” in the first sentence seems unnecessary, but it does carry overtones of the “unnamed Coalition source” and Baroness Jay suggesting that a Yes vote won’t necessarily mean Yes.

    The actual question is oddly phrased, As many commentators – including the Wall Street Journal – have pointed out, “continuing to use the pound” is a matter on which folk in England & Wales may have a view, but it would be meaningless.

    What the tripartheid statements concerned was a formal currency union, Since folk had just heard their political leaders say it would be disastrous, that 58% express opposition in a question vaguely related to that, is hardly surprising.

    That 64% of the tiny Scots sample support “using the pound” – when many will have seen the coverage of precisely that issue is not surprising either.

  10. @Oldnat

    I was reading some of the comments on the latest BBC Salmond article (HYS 3664 comments can counting). Two which tickled me:


    So true – it’s hard to take the whole thing seriously when you start letting children vote

    “Mummy, can I have a ciggie?”
    “No, you’re not old enough”

    “Mummy, can I have a beer then?”
    “No, you’re not responsible enough for that”

    “Mummy, can I drive a car?”
    “You’re just being silly now”

    “Mummy, can I vote on the complex matter of devolution with it’s massive fiscal implications?
    “of course”


    “Mummy, can I vote on the complex matter of devolution with it’s massive fiscal implications…since your lot keep voting for the same old shower again, and again, and again, and again.”

    “No, you’re too wee, too poor, and too noisy.”

    “Mummy. I’m Scottish. Why are you English?”



  11. Statgeek


    You’re a brave man reading the posts on that site!

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