The monthly online ComRes poll for the Indy on Sunday and Sunday Mirror is out tonight (ComRes have two monthly polls, the other is a phone poll for the Indy – the two different methods tend to produce slightly different results). Topline figures with changes from December’s online poll are CON 30%(+1), LAB 35%(-1), LDEM 8%(nc), UKIP 19%(+1).
ComRes also asked if people had favourable perceptions of each party and their leader. We get the usual pattern for the Tories and Labour: David Cameron is seen more favourably than his party (27% are favourable towards Cameron, 48% unfavourable – a net rating of minus 21 compared to the Conservative party’s minus 25), Ed Miliband is seen less favourably than his party (a net rating of minus 31 compared to his party’s minus 19). Cameron is seen more favourably than Miliband, Labour are seen more favourably than the Tories.
So far nothing new. The interesting findings are UKIP. There is an assumption that UKIP are a bit like marmite – love em or hate em. Their supporters are very positive (and vocal) but are vastly outnumbered by detractors. The ComRes results however paint a more positive picture for UKIP – 27% had a positive opinion of the party (so marginally higher than Labour (26%) and the Tories (25%)). Only 38% had a negative opinion though, which was significantly lower than the Conservatives or Labour, giving them the most positive net figure. The other interesting finding was that Nigel Farage polled significantly less positively than his party – a net rating of minus 18, compared to minus 11 for UKIP.
We should also have an Opinium poll tonight in the Observer, and tomorrow morning the weekly YouGov poll in the Sunday Times.
UPDATE: Opinium figures in the Observer are CON 30%(nc), LAB 36%(-1), LDEM 8%(nc), UKIP 17%(nc)