The monthly ICM poll for the Guardian is out tonight, the first of the three telephone polls each month. Topline voting intention figures with changes from December are CON 32%(nc), LAB 35%(-2), LDEM 14%(+2), UKIP 10%(+1). The three point Labour lead is lower than ICM’s last few polls, but not completely out of kilter, they were showing three and four point leads last autumn.
ICM also find the growing economic confidence that we’ve seen in other trackers, though interestingly theirs is in a question that also specifically references keeping up with the cost of living. Asked to “consider the economy for a moment, your current financial position, and your ability to keep up with the cost of living” 52% now say they are confident, 47% not confident – the most positive since 2010.
The poll also asked about protecting pensioners from cuts, finding 33% wanting pensioners excluding, 59% wanting everyone to take their share, and immigration. The immigration question appears to have been prefaced with information telling respondents that immigrants are more likely to be in work than other British residents, but even with the effect of that information 54% say immigration is bad for Britain, only 36% good.
Meanwhile today’s twice-weekly Populus poll had topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 38%, LDEM 12%, UKIP 9%. Tabs here.