Populus’s twice weekly poll earlier today had topline figures of CON 36%, LAB 39%, LDEM 11%, UKIP 7%. Unlike the YouGov polls since Ed Miliband’s conference speech Populus has not shown any sort of boost for the Labour party. The poll was conducted over the weekend, so would have partially got the start of the the Tory conference and their marriage tax announcement… but in past years when there is any sort of conference boost it has tended to show up after the leaders’ speeches.

Still to come tonight we have the monthly ComRes poll for the Indy, then either tonight or tomorrow morning the daily YouGov poll for the Sun. Let’s see if they give us any consistent picture of whether Labour have retained a conference boost or not.

UPDATE: The monthly ComRes poll for the Independent has topline voting intention figures of CON 33%(+2), LAB 37%(nc), LDEM 11%(-1), UKIP 11%(+1). Changes are from a month ago, and full tabs are here. As with Populus, no sign of any Labour conference boost.


212 Responses to “Populus – CON 36, LAB 39, LD 11, UKIP 7”

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  1. You’d think the Mail of all papers would be shy about bringing up who supported what around that time. Personally I’m glad to see Ed stick up for himself & his family. Might help alleviate people’s view of him being “weak”. If defeating a government over war, upsetting Mr Murdoch and taking on the unions didn’t do it I can only surmise perceptions of weakness is less about what you do and more about how you carry yourself. So a public ding dong with the Mail at it’s most rabid probably won’t hurt.

  2. I don’t see anything about EM in the Daily Mail which is any worse than what the MSM in England (and especially) the London Evening Standard write about the Scots.

    “Subsidy junkies, Gorbals Mick , Salmond the tartan Führer”

    Of course the Scots are thicker skinned and this is coming from someone born doon sooth!!

  3. It could be that the BBC are doing as they are told.

  4. ALEC

    I think you are wrong to equate “domestic demand” with “household consumer demand”.

    Manufacturing output will be responding to the whole range of industrial & commercial demand, as well as purely private consumers.

    The Markit PMI report actually says :-

    “September data indicated that the growth in output
    and new order volumes was felt across the
    manufacturing industry, with all of the sub-sectors
    covered by the survey reporting increases in both.”

    I tried to find the sub-sector analysis, but couldn’t.

    Markit also reported that staffing levels rose significantly-which is very good news.

  5. Interesting decision by EM to reply to the DM’s comments about his father. How will it affect joe public’s perception of him, I wonder.

    I think it will work in his favour.

    He has defended his father, his ‘family’, – what’s not to like?
    He has taken a ‘stand’, and shown he cares – what’s not to like?

    And there are perhaps other aspects. EM has responded quickly – perhaps a sign that Lab will be quick to get in denials against its opponents claims. Further, EM’s decision underlines his stance on the press – reminding people perhaps of his position to support the Leveson recommendations.

    This is a win-win for EM, IMO. But we’ll see if his ratings improve.

  6. We just met Angela [or Maria] Eagle on the beach at St Ives but she wouldn’t join in with our footy match. Says she’s more into chess.

    R and D.

  7. turk

    “Some parts of the left wing press were in raptures over her death and couldn’t wait to pore scorn on her memory regardless of her family’s grief, I certainly don’t see how EM fathers treatment is any different.”

    Gosh you seem to specialise in missing the point. The negative reaction to Margaret Thatcher’s death was way over the top but [1] was largely precipitated by things she actually DID that affected millions of lives detrimentally and [2] the eulogies offered to her by, in the main, the right wing and it’s press.

    As Alec had mentioned, her parents were not brought into the debate at all.

    I can see nothing in Ralph Miliband’s life to warrant that atrocious headline and was delighted that Ed M took the Mail to task.

    I really don’t know why papers in this country are called NEWS papers as they provide very little of it.

  8. AC

    “I don’t see anything about EM in the Daily Mail which is any worse than what the MSM in England (and especially) the London Evening Standard write about the Scots.

    “Subsidy junkies, Gorbals Mick , Salmond the tartan Führer”

    Of course the Scots are thicker skinned and this is coming from someone born doon sooth!!”

    Your point being what? That papers can be as nasty and vicious about dead people as they like because living Scots can take it??

  9. New thread.

  10. Re Well said!
    The French PM at the time of the Munich crisis, Dalladier, always regretted not responding in kind when Hitler,sotto voce, referred to the French foreign secretary as a ‘ni**er’. , “l should have called him a Schwabian sh*t kicker and walked out”.
    Sometimes you gotta say\do the Right Thing and damn the consequences.
    Good for Milliband jnr.

  11. Interesting, all this WW2 enemy linking, as some sort of reason to not have a valid point.

    Audi
    BMW
    VolkWagen
    Mercedes
    Porche
    Opel (Vauxhall)
    Ford (Germany – Henry Ford was happy to do business with the Nazis)

    Mitsubishi
    Toyota
    Datsun (Nissan)

    Anyone ever driven any of the above, or had a lift in one?

    Then you’re forever connected with the bad folk of WW2, and your point is invalid

    :))

  12. According to Wikipedia Ralph Miliband was a ‘revolutionary socialist’. Normally that’s code for terrorism.

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