The monthly online poll for ComRes in the Indy on Sunday has topline figures of CON 28%(nc), LAB 37%(+1), LDEM 8%(nc), UKIP 19%(+1). Clearly there is no significant change from last month (although that itself is interesting – the UKIP score in this poll matches the party’s high with ComRes, so the decline we’ve seen from UKIP’s post local election high from almost every other company is absent here).

The rest of the poll has lots of my beloved agree/disagree statements, but of particular interest is one that was a repeat from way back in 2009. Back then 58% of people agreed that citizens of other EU countries should have the right to live and work in the UK, four years on, with immigration within the European Union having become more of an issue, that figure has dropped to 23%, with 57% disagreeing that EU citizens should have the right to live and work here.


216 Responses to “ComRes/Indy on Sunday – CON 28, LAB 37, LD 8, UKIP 19”

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  1. @Steve

    Did you do physics ‘A’ Level? ‘Cos we did some ‘O’ levels early (I did maths at 14, I think doing it earlier is becoming more common?) and progressing to calculus thereafter found it a bit of a mystery until doing the physics which, using calculus in practice made the point and use of it a lot clearer…

  2. @ Martyn

    Hasn’t Peter Mandelson written a book? I’m pretty sure that he’d have mentioned it in his book, if GB had bullied him physically. It would’ve got massive publicity for his book & a huge advance from any publisher who’d been given a ‘heads up’ that such an incident would be fully described therein.

    I also think that Peter Mandelson didn’t want to accept the premise of the question i.e. that bullying requires a physical element; but, if that resulted in the reporter extending the definition of bullying beyond the physical element, then it leads to whether shouting, swearing at &/or manipulating people are also forms of bullying. I doubt Peter & his team would themselves come up 100% clean on those extended terms!

    So I believe it’s safe to assume that Peter Mandelson thought he was ‘cleverly side-stepping the question’ when he gave the answer he did. And, FWIW, New Labour went through a weird phase when they seemed to believe that outright denial of something ridiculous only added fuel to the flames; they believed ambiguity was safer – who knows why… but they did.

  3. @ Martyn

    I did a reply to you, re PM & GB but it keeps tripping auto-mod & I have no clue which word is the problem.

  4. What really should worry the Conservative election gurus is the fact that they have managed to get the press to run with the line for months of Ed is crap and it has not moved the Labour percentage.

    Eventually, parts of the press, more likely out and out right wing like the Express and the Mail will decide that Ed is not going and move to the question, if Ed is so crap why are the Conservative Party not in the lead….oh wait there, that must mean Dave is crap as well.

    That is what the gurus will fear the most.

    All of this does beg the question, if Ed is as crap as we keep getting told, how crap must this opposition government be if they are still six percent behind.

  5. should have read “coalition government”…..they will be opposition in a couple of years if their gurus keep hitting the brick wall on the Labour bracket.

  6. Billy bob,

    “New Labour, whether you agree with it or not, was a project designed to draw a line under the infighting of the 70s and 80s and present the electrorate with a sharply defined alternative to Tory rule”

    I don’t buy that for a minute, for me;

    New Labour, whether you agree with it or not, was a project designed to portray New Labour as a break from the infighting of thr 70’s and 80’s and present the electorate with a fictions alternative to Tory rule.

    Peter.

  7. As we are talking about food banks we should also talk about food price inflation. Food prices are rocketing and have been doing so steadily for several years. In this country it has indirectly driven people to food banks. In poorer parts of the world its led to the overthrow of governments.

    Several reasons for price inflation – demand has grown sharply from developing parts of the world for protein. But we also can’t ignore the ruinous effects of the banks, who have bet on commodity prices as they have everything else forcing the price upwards.

    The UK is now dangerously reliant on imported food, having decided that supermarket profits are of highest importance and if that means importing things we used to produce then so what. We are reliant on market prices for every day staple foods, and far too much of our protein, fruit, vegetables etc are imported solely because non-UK sourcing boosts a profit margin by a few percent. We need a dig for victory campaign to not just buy British but grow British. Flood the market with locally grown produce, the price drops, people eat better food and are healthier. A terrifying prospect for free market advocates!

  8. Re. Mandelson, Brown and bullying, here’s the interview so everyone can judge for themselves: http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=mz4e3vOmcgo (The money quote starts around 2:30).

    But I think Amber makes a compelling argument about Mandelson’s book (and Brown had resigned by then, so Mandelson wouldn’t care about damaging him).

  9. @ Martyn

    My comment at 5:42pm has been released, if you wanted to read it. :-)

  10. Ian

    The points you mention about food prices are good but you forget that modern agriculture is dependent on oil, not just for the farm machinery and transport to market but also fertilizers and pesticides without which yields would be much lower, this has a major effect on food prices as well

  11. New thread!

  12. @ian bailey: great post! Exactly- we want to hear vision not policies.

  13. What’s this – ‘squeezing the poor’? The poor are not taxed and get handouts/benefits to buy kids shoes etc. The people who are squeezed are the middle class, with over high taxation which is balanced by giving them tax credits. A bizarre & innefficient way to run things.

    Any polling to show what % of people who use food counters have Sky TV?

  14. Have sky tv or are paying for sky tv? There is a big difference you know

  15. DAVE

    Re UKIP’s recent 19 and 8% scores: I agree with your comment, “… there is no point averaging the results, as one may be quite accurate and the other wrong.” But who do we believe?

    I count nine British pollsters. Angus Reid seems to have retired from the fray in recent months, Populus has just rejoined, giving eight. ICM has produced such wildly fluctuating figures in the last few months that I wonder whether their results can be given serious consideration. Of the remaining seven Ipsos Mori, Populus and YouGov tend to give UKIP low scores, ComRes, Opinium, Survation and TNS BMRB significantly higher scores. So four to three – a majority for the higher scores, but by no means a proven case.

  16. When do we get a poll on Syrian intervention?

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