ComRes’s monthly telephone poll for the Independent has topline figures of CON 35%(+2), LAB 42%(-2), LDEM 10%(-2), UKIP 6%(+1). As with the ICM poll earlier this month, that 6% for UKIP doesn’t look that high compared to the levels of support they register in online polls, but is high by the standards of ComRes’s telephone polls.
The rest of the poll had questions showing people agreeing that Britain should stay in the European Union by 46% to 45% and, um, agreeing that Britain should pull out of the EU and maintain close trading links by 54% to 36%. Other than another lesson on why you should be very careful in interpreting questions asked as agree/disagree statements (imagine how differently someone could interpret this poll if only one of those questions had been asked), the reason is probably mostly to do with people wanting to stay in the EU because of trading links and therefore being happy to say they’d leave if they thought it was possible to maintain trading links outside the EU.
We are also still due a Populus poll for the Times this month. So far I haven’t heard or seen any sight of it.