The weekly TNS-BMRB poll is out, and has topline figures of CON 31%(nc), LAB 39%(-2), LD 11%(+2), UKIP 7%(-2). Changes are from their last poll a week ago.
Meanwhile the daily YouGov poll for the Sun this morning had topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 42%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 8%.
All appears to be pretty steady, as it has been for months. Coming up this week though we have the European budget meeting – last year Cameron’s European “veto” temporarily closed the Labour lead in the polls (I suspect largely becuase of the impact of perceptions of Cameron as a strong and effective leader, rather than the particular issues at stake). The media are building this week’s meeting up to a similar test of Cameron, so it will be interesting to see if there is an impact in the polls from it – clearly it can go either way, strong or weak, positive or negative… or indeed, no difference whatsoever, the impact that most things end up having on voting intention! We shall see.
Today there is also a new tranche of polling from Lord Ashcroft, which I hope to have time to look at later but which can meanwhile be viewed here.