This month’s online ComRes poll for the Sunday Indy and Sunday Mirror has topline figures of CON 33%(-2), LAB 41%(+2), LDEM 10%(nc), UKIP 9%(+1). Changes are from the last online ComRes poll which was conducted in late September, just before the Lib Dem conference. It’s a shift towards Labour, but it is very much a reversion to the mean following an usually tight poll last month. On average, since Labour’s lead grew after the budget ComRes’s online polls have been showing an 8 point Labour lead, so this is bang on average.
As with YouGov’s leader ratings for the Sunday Times, ComRes’s leader approval ratings show improvements for both Cameron and Miliband following their conferences, but with Miliband enjoying a larger boost. Cameron’s net approval rating is up 6 to minus 21, Miliband’s net approval up 9 to minus 11.
UPDATE: Tonight there is also the fortnightly Opinium poll for the Observer. Their topline figures are CON 31%(+1), LAB 40%(-1), LDEM 9%(nc), UKIP 10%(-1). Changes are all well within normal margin of error and everything remains in the normal range of nine to ten point leads. As with YouGov and ComRes, David Cameron has only a minor improvement to his ratings from conference season – up to minus 17 from minus 21 before the Conservative conference (in contrast, Opinium had Ed Miliband’s net rating up seven points following his party conference, a boost he has mostly held onto).