Ipsos MORI have published their quarterly Scottish political monitor for the Times, full results are here.
Voting intention for the Holyrood constituency vote stands at CON 13%(+1), LAB 35%(+3), LDEM 8%(+2), SNP 40%(-5). Alex Salmond also continues to have a positive approval rating as First Minister, with 50% satisfied with the way he is doing his job and 40% disatisfied (in comparing Salmond with the other party leaders in Scotland the most notable thing is the different levels of don’t knows – only 9% had no opinion on Salmond, the next lowest was Johann Lamont who 34% of people had no opinion on. It’s not a surprise – Salmond has been a major figure in Scottish politics for decades while Lamont, Rennie and Davidson have all been in office for less than 18 months – but striking none-the-less).
On the Scottish referendum question amongst those certain to vote in a referendum YES is on 30%, NO is on 58%. In the three waves of the MORI Scottish monitor since the new question was announced there has been a clear movement towards NO – from an 11 point NO lead in January, to 20 points in June, to 28 points now.