This morning’s YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 34%, LAB 41%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 10%.
The seven point Labour lead is lower than YouGov have shown of late – it may be the first sign of a conference boost for the Tories, or it may just be normal margin of error. The temporary boosts parties get from their conferences normally tend to appear after the leaders’ speeches, so we shall see.
Just for the record, David Cameron spoke slightly earlier in the day than leaders normally do, so probably about a quarter of this poll would have been conducted after David Cameron started speaking (though of course, that is definitely not the same thing as assuming a quarter of the respondents had actually had chance to see any reports of the speech! Tomorrow’s poll will be the first when a significant proportion of respondents will actually have had chance to see reports of the speech.)