Opinium’s weekly poll for the Observer is already out and has topline figures of CON 29%(-1), LAB 39%(-3), LDEM 10%(+2), Others 22%(+2), including UKIP on 10%. The Lib Dems are up two points since their conference, though it is impossible to know whether that is a small conference boost or just normal sample variation.
The rest of the asked people to compare Cameron, Miliband and Clegg on various attributes, showing the patterns of strengths and weaknesses we’ve become accustommed to: Cameron has substantial leads on being able to take tough decisions, being capable and having a clear vision of where the country should be heading. Ed Miliband leads on caring about every sector of society and being in touch with ordinary people. Asked if they could imagine Ed Miliband being Prime Minister only 29% said they could, 62% could not.
Meanwhile the weekly YouGov poll for the Sunday Times has topline figures of CON 35%, LAB 40%, LDEM 10%, UKIP 7%. The five point Labour is is obviously low by the standards of YouGov’s recent polling, but all the normal caveats apply. Sure, it could be a narrowing of the Labour lead, but there is no particular reason to expect one so it could just as easily be down to normal sample error.