Tonight’s YouGov poll for the Sun has topline figures of CON 35%, LAB 44%, LDEM 7%, UKIP 6%, so still very much in line with YouGov’s recent polling which has Labour leads of around about nine or ten points.
This morning there was also some YouGov polling on Europe, full tabs here. It showed support for a referendum on Europe, but as we’ve discussed here before, people almost always express support for a referendum on almost any question you ask about. More interesting were people’s preferences on the various sorts of referendum that have been suggested. 20% would prefer a referendum to give the government the mandate to renegotiate, 25% would prefer a referendum following renegotiation, 35% would prefer a straight in-or-out with no renegotiation.
Asked how they’d vote in the three types of referendum, in a straight in-or-out 31% of people would vote to stay, 48% would vote to leave (21% say they don’t know or that they wouldn’t vote). In a referendum prior to renegotiation, 61% say they would vote to support renegotiation, 15% would oppose it. Finally YouGov asked how people would vote if the government renegoiated British membership and then David Cameron recommended a yes vote (basically the equivalent of what Harold Wilson did in 1975) – in those circumstances 42% say they would vote to stay in, 34% said they would vote to leave.
Also interesting were a pair of questions asking what people considered the best and worst things about the European Union. Asked what the best features were free trade was by far the top, picked by 41% of people. It was followed by the freedom to live in other European countries (21%), ensuring peace and stability in Europe (21%) and co-operation on issues like the environment and terrorism (19%). In terms of what people considered the worst things about the European Union, immigration from Eastern Europe was seen as the worst thing (45%), followed by interference in how member countries run their affairs (40%), the single currency making the financial crisis worse (32%) and the cost of membership (31%).