This week’s YouGov poll for the Sunday Times has topline figures of CON 34%, LAB 43%, LDEM 9%, UKIP 6%. The nine point lead is very much in line with the average Labour leads of ten points or so that YouGov have been showing for the last fortnight.
Tonight we are also due a new ICM poll in the Sunday Telegraph using their “wisdom index” (that is, averaging people’s predictions for the shares of the vote if there was an election tomorrow, rather than asking how people would vote in an election tomorrow). I’m not online tonight and haven’t seen the figures yet, so feel free to discuss them here.
As usual, I’ll do a proper post sometime tomorrow.