Since the local elections we’ve seen polls from YouGov, MORI, ComRes and Opinium that have all shown a further shift towards Labour. ICM’s monthly poll for the Guardian is out, and is a departure from the trend – topline figures are CON 36%(+3), LAB 41%(nc), LDEM 11%(-4), Others 13%(+1).
Where they are showing a similar trend to other companies is in the leader ratings: David Cameron’s approval rating is down to minus 11, Ed Miliband’s up to minus 12. Note that while the eleven point score for the Lib Dems would be unremarkable from any other company, ICM tend to give them their highest scores and 11 is the lowest in an ICM/Guardian poll since 1997.
ICM also asked about the Euro crisis and the economy. 74% expect Greece to leave the Eurozone, 52% expect other countries to do so, 26% expect the Euro to collapse completely. ICM’s findings suggest that the deteriorating situation in the Eurozone meant people were more inclined to blame Britain’s continuing economic problems on the Eurozone rather than the government. They repeated a question last asked in November on what people blamed for the continuing downturn. The last Labour government’s debts were blamed by 29% (down 1 from November), this government’s cuts 17% (down 7 from November), banks not lending 21% (up 2), troubles in the Eurozone 24% (up by 6).