The Sun political team have already tweeted out the results of tonight’s YouGov daily poll. Topline figures are CON 33%, LAB 43%, LDEM 8%, UKIP 8% – so very much in line with the 10 or 11 point Labour leads YouGov have been showing of late.
Voting intention for Westminster is not a prediction for local government elections – people vote differently in different elections, the Lib Dems tend to do better in local elections and Labour worse – but the national polls are significantly better for Labour than they were a year ago, so it’s reasonable to expect a better showing for Labour tomorrow. (For the record, a year ago YouGov were showing Westminster voting intention at CON 36%, LAB 40%, LDEM 11%. Last year they also did a separate Local government poll, which had voting intention of CON 35%, LAB 37%, LDEM 15% – demonstrating how people do indeed consciously vote in a different way in local contests)