YouGov’s weekly poll for the Sunday Times has topline figures of CON 33%, LAB 41%, LDEM 11%, Others 15% (including UKIP on 8%). The thirteen point Labour lead yesterday looks as thought it was a bit of an outlier – my impression is that the underlying figure in YouGov’s daily polls is a Labour lead of around about 10 points.

As usual, I’ll do a fuller report tomorrow when YouGov’s tables are published.


104 Responses to “YouGov/Sunday Times – CON 33%, LAB 41%, LDEM 11%”

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  1. @Statgeek

    Thank you for those. Also I suspect, asking how someone’s doing as a Prime Minister and as a party leader are subtly different questions, the tasks are different. Opposition is unforgiving and offers relatively few opportunities to prove yourself, compared to a Prime Minister holding the reins of power, an opposition leader is less in control and more of a hostage to external factors. Also the leader in opposition has to manage his party’s expectations, disappointments and frustrations at being out of office, as well as navigating different sections of the membership’s ideas for party direction. Whereas ruling party supporters are more likely to want to think the best of their man in office. This may explain, in particular, the differential approval rates of Cameron and Miliband amongst their own supporters.

    In addition to that many Labour supporters are quite jaded after 13 years in Government in which the party became pretty alienated from it’s base.

    @Roger Mexico

    Also look at the youngest age bracket, those with the most recent experience of the education system. They had more confidence in teaching of core subjects, but were also amongst the most likely to think that teaching wasn’t demanding enough, second only to old Daily Mail reading curmudgeons. This would certainly tally with my experience. Teaching outside the core subjects often lacks direction, with KS3 Humanities being a particular case in point.

  2. People are tweeting using # as #radiolondres to tweet the results of the election in their area under codenames.

    So far it seems to be

    Hollande 27%-30%
    Sarkozy 25%-27%
    Le penn 15%-17%
    Menchy 13%-14%

  3. @ David

    price well worth paying for having Liberal Democrats in government for five years implementing a Coalition Agreement that includes 75% of our manifesto (according to UCL’s Constitution Unit).

    —————————-

    Is this the “fantasy promoted by acolytes” you were referring to? This figure of 75% is routinely trotted out by Lib Dem acolytes when defending their position in government. It is a fairly meangless statistic, 75% of not a lot is still not much.

    If you compare a manifesto with what a party actually does in government you will always find that every government does much more than was ever in their manifesto and quite often (like the Lib Dems) are unable to fulfill some of their election promises. Tuition fees and electoral reform spring to mind….

  4. Hannah @ Statgeek

    I am surprised that those who debated the missed opportunity for a Conservative leader who could hve become PM did not include the obvious choice of Tony Blair.

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