ComRes have released a new poll on the London mayoral elections, conducted for the Evening Standard, LBC and ITN. Topline voting intention figures, with changes from their last poll in January, are JOHNSON 46%(+2), LIVINGSTONE 41%(-5), PADDICK 6%(+1), JONES 4%(+1).
With second preferences reallocated, Boris leads Ken by 50% to 46%. Last month ComRes has Ken leading by 2 points, 51% to 49% (I’m not sure why this month’s figures don’t add to 100%, but I’m sure it will become clear once the tables arrive).
The Evening Standard has now corrected the story, saying “An earlier version of this story carried on the Standard’s website contained some inaccurate figures supplied by ComRes. Those errors have now been corrected.” I’m not exactly sure what went on there, but the reported second round figures are now Boris 53%, Ken 47%.
The poll shows a lower Boris lead than the last YouGov poll, but both companies are showing Boris establishing a lead over Ken having previously been neck-and-neck.
UPDATE: The full tabs for the ComRes poll are now up here. They include one of my favourite questions, which Ipsos MORI orginally wrote, asking if people like both the Conservative party and Boris, just the Conservatives, just Boris or neither of them (and the same for Ken) and it underlines the fact that Boris is outperforming his party while Ken is a drag on his.
57% of Londoners say they like Boris Johnson, compared to just 36% who say they like the Conservative party – meaning Boris is outperforming his party by 21 points. Compare this to Ken: only 41% of Londoners like Ken, compared to 44% who like the Labour party, so he is underperforming his party by 3 points.
95% of people who say they are voting for Boris like him, with just 4% who say they dislike him but like the party. For Ken 83% of his voters actually like him, with 14% saying they don’t like him but like the Labour party.