The full tables for the YouGov/Sunday Times poll are now up here, covering the budget, fuel strikes and party donations.

On the regular leadership trackers there is a sharp fall for David Cameron, down to minus 27 from minus 11 a week ago. This is his lowest approval rating as Prime Minister (and I think as during his time as leader of the opposition too, though I don’t have them all collated in one place. I think his lowest then was minus 26). Ed Miliband and Nick Clegg’s ratings are also down slightly, Miliband to minus 41 (from minus 37), Clegg to minus 53 (from minus 46).

YouGov repeated the overall budget question from last week now there has been a further week for news of the budget to sink in (and for people to row over pasties… a move the poll found 69% in disagreement with). A week ago 24% thought the budget would be good for the economy, 34% bad. That’s now fallen to 13% good, 45% bad.

Turning to the fuel strike, 25% would support a strike by fuel tanker drivers, 52% would oppose it. If it did go ahead, two thirds of people (66%) would support using the army to deliver petrol supplies. On the government’s handling of the strike threat so far, an overwhelming 86% of people think they have handled it badly (59% think they have handled it “very badly”). This includes 78% of Tory voters who think they have handled the strike threat badly.

On party funding and donations, the figures suggest people are equally negative towards both the two main parties. 68% think donors have a lot or a fair amount of influence over Conservative policies, 69% think the same about Labour; only 25% of people trust David Cameron to be honest about his relationships with Conservative donors, only 24% trust Ed Miliband to be honest about his relationships with Labour donors.

68% of people think that British politics are very (21%) or fairly (47%) corrupt, 56% think it is probably true that policies have been changed in exchange for donations, 80% think it is probably true that honours have been given in exchange for donations. On the specifics of the Cruddas case, just over half (53%) think that he was telling the truth and the Tory donors really would get preferential access and influence.

Moving forward, just over half (53%) would support a cap on individual donations to parties, with 63% and 62% supporting caps on business and union donations respectively.


371 Responses to “Full report on the YouGov/Sunday Times survey”

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  1. @NICKP

    “My mother’s maiden name was Robertson and her dad came from up there. So do I get a vote?”

    Certainly not! The Robertsons were sheep stealers. :D

  2. STATGEEK

    Nothing wrong with sheep stealers! One of my 18th century relatives was hung for sheep stealing.

  3. STATGEEK

    Of course, whether that was for food or more esoteric use is unknown. :-)

  4. @OLDNAT

    An old family joke. My father always referred to the Robertsons as sheep stealers. His mother in law’s maiden name was Robertson. :)

  5. statgeek

    Was you father’s mother-in-law (your mother’s mother?) actually my mother? That would make your father my brother and you…

    nephew!

  6. “The nation’s builders saw new orders rise at the fastest rate in four-and-a-half years last month, a survey said today, further boosting hopes that the UK has dodged another recession.

    The closely watched Markit/CIPS purchasing managers’ index survey for overall construction output, in which a reading above 50 represents expansion, rose to 56.7 in March from 54.3 in February, the sharpest expansion in 21 months.

    A general improvement in market activity boosted tenders and saw long-running negotiations closed as new orders rose at their fastest rate since September 2007, Markit said. Growth was seen across all construction areas – civil, commercial and housing.

    The upbeat survey comes after the equivalent reading for the manufacturing sector hit a 10-month high in March, adding to expectations that the economy returned to growth in the first quarter of 2012, after shrinking 0.3% in the final three months of last year.”

    The Indy
    3/4/12

    Interesting :-)

  7. NICKP

    Nice to see that we have moved on from ethnic Scottishness to ethnic Robertsonness. :-)

  8. We Robertsons won’t slurp Campbell soup, drink Gordon’s Gin or wear Macintoshes.

  9. @ Amberstar
    “However, I will in future, take great care to have neither apostrophe errors nor apostrophe related typing errors because I can tell it’s important to you.”

    I fear “apostrophe related” should be hyphenated on the grounds that it combines a noun & a past participle acting as an adjective?
    Also: yr ” I will in future, etc …” would be rendered more correctly as “I will, in future, etc.” Otherwise you are saying “I Amberstar will in future that” in the sense “I will [present tense of your intention to determine & order the future] smite the apostrophe retards,” etc, while your intention, I think, was to use “I will” as a future tense.?

  10. Suprised at Ken’s tactics on the tax issue. It’s not an argument he can win.

  11. NICKP

    Nor will you drive on macadamised roads – though that may be due to the pot holes. :-)

  12. ROBBIEALIVE

    “yr” Have you descended to text messaging format and abandoned words altogether?

  13. “Suprised at Ken’s tactics on the tax issue. It’s not an argument he can win.”

    We’ll see. He’s been playing this game against the Tories for a very long time…and winning.

  14. @Robbiealive

    You, Sir, have missed you true calling in life as a forum grammar-buster!

  15. @ Ken
    “Not one feels a poster who is comfortable with the apostrophe.”
    A couple of comma’s wouldn’t go amiss.”

    I assume yr otiose apostrophe in “comma’s” was yr little joke. We are amused.
    Yes it could be “Not, one feels, etc ..” But I’m not convinced that the comma’s’ were absolutely necessary in this case.

  16. Tonights poll

    Labour 42%
    Tories 34%
    LD 8%

    Approval -3

  17. 34/42/8 -37

    Yeah ! :-) :-)

  18. Over 60 :-

    40/37

    Forgiving Grannies :-)

  19. @ Oldnat
    yr” Have you descended to text messaging format and abandoned words altogether?”

    Glad to hear that mobile phones & texting have reached North Britain. I promise not to use “yr” again.
    But, again, I’m worried. Should “text messaging”, which combines a noun & a present participle to form an adjective, be hyphenated?
    [God this is boring!].

  20. @Colin

    What are we to make of this Tory surge? 33 to 34% in 24 hours must be down to more than the grey vote coming home, mustn’t it? lol

  21. Firstly can I apologise for the errors in my last post… i was lying on the couch using my iPad and my typing is poor even when not doing it one handed on a touch pad.

    apart from that my grammar has always been a bit dubious and my proof reading non existent… If I use the wrong spelling but it is still a proper word then I am unlikely to spot it.

    It is another aspect of posting under your own name that is worth noting… people see that you are only semiliterate.

    Anyway to address Alec earlier on, a bit late but the power went off sometime last night as a result of 6″ of snow and it stayed off until after four today.

    “‘Independence’ sounds like a very straightforward concept, but in reality it could mean many different things.”

    There really is nothing difficult about independence and it doesn’t need any extra explanation. it is common to pretty much every country in the UN and non of them seem to have a problem with it or what it is.

    This is not an attack on Alec but their really is a lot of “TESSWS” going on;

    “Throw enough s**t and some will stick”.

    The standard delaying tactic used in all sorts of debates is to just keep asking questions and asking more questions when the answers arrive.

    Its a useful tactic if you just want to delay or block some thing.

    We still have almost two years to go but already “We need all the details” has become a constant mantra.

    “This means the big questions of NATO, currency, EU etc as well as a host of smaller issues, such as the division of assets paid for or owned by collective UK citizens.”

    To cover these;

    NATO

    The SNP want to leave Nato, but it will be decided post Independence and if Scots want to stay in then we will.
    If we leave we will save some money and not have to be in an alliance that can’t respond fast enough in a crisis, but it won’t effect our security.

    Nato members have a combined $1trillion defence budget (70% of world defence spending) and 3.5million uniformed personnel so it won’t miss us.

    From Scotland’s point of view just like Ireland we are under no threat and if one emerged it would be overwhelmingly in Nato’s interests to intervene.

    Much as I admire our armed forces and the job they do we are being told that the world is more dangerous than ever before, but is it.

    We have lost 400 troops in over ten years in Afghanistan with total casualties over 10,000. We lost over 19,000 on the first day of the Somme and last year 15,000 people died in drug related violence in Mexico.

    Are we really in such danger that Scotland should worry about defence post independence. If things are really that bad why are we cutting defence spending.

    In short Scotland is in no immediate danger and is in fact in a safe corner of the best defended continent in the world at a time when the West and its allies have overwhelming military superiority.

    CURRENCY

    I am on record as saying that I would have preferred the referendum as late as possible so that we would have a better idea of what happens to the Euro. I think it will survive but people have their doubts.

    Like Ireland the UK is our largest trading partner so a common currency has attractions for economic reasons. However the UK doesn’t like the Euro so we need to make a choice and sticking with Sterling will do as far as I am concerned.

    My issue with a new currency would be Oil. We might have to set our interest rates because as an oil currency we might see it move with the dollar.

    If oil went up and our currency rose with it we might see our exports priced out of the market.

    So it would be better to be in a larger currency block where oil was not as significant factor.

    Again I think sticking with Sterling makes sense and if it does limit us to an extent in terms of fiscal policy the advantages of a common currency out weigh them.

    A few years ago I had hoped that we could have twin tracked negotiations with the UK and the EU so that we could shift to the Euro at full independence but then we had the global financial crisis and the problems in the Eurozone.

    If it gets through it the Euro might still be the answer in the long term but neither North or South of the border is their a public appetite for it. With that in mind sticking with Sterling is a pragmatic choice.

    In a similar way I think we won’t be part of the Schengen Agreement because like Ireland given the choice, between open borders with all the EU with no land border and a closed one with our single largest trading partner with a land border, we will go with the land border.

    EU

    I have no doubt we will be a member of the EU mostly because regardless of the expert opinions that are regularly wheeled out by both sides;

    The EU will want us in because we are a prosperous western european democracy.

    Some people and parties in Europe might not like it but in the end they have more to lose from from being seen to go against democracy than agreeing to scottish membership.

    Again as with the other subjects those who raise these as big issues want to make them big issues and are not really interested in the answers.

    It is about creating reasonable doubt by deluging the jury with as many possible scenarios as they can each it seems more bizarre than the last.

    Challenging all the evidence at every turn because we are in the union until we chose to leave.

    I do try to be positive and upbeat but to be honest even I am getting worn down.

    How does this relate to polls and polling, well as I type this I am listening to New Night and a debate about the Bradford result…..

    We have Labour and Tory spokespeople with others discussing why the public are turning away from politics.

    Part of the battle around independence will be about then type of politics and country we want to have and I think the final winner might be the side that best expresses that we can have something better.

    In this respect I think that the SNP have the edge if they can tap into public feeling that we can’t trust the UK system to deliver or tell the truth.

    In part that actually requires the SNP to be a bit less negative about Government and to talk more about our politics and political system.

    With a public mood for something better getting involved in slanging matches with London doesn’t do us any good and we should start to act more like we are independent already treating London like a foreign government.

    Cllr Peter Cairns (SNP),

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