Full results for YouGov’s weekly Sunday Times poll are now up here, mostly concentrating on next week’s budget and Britain’s relationship with the USA. On the regular leadership trackers David Cameron’s approval rating is at minus 5 (up from minus 9 last week), Miliband’s at minus 45 (from minus 38), Clegg’s at minus 46 (from minus 44).

Looking at the budget questions, even when we prompt people to consider that rises in the personal tax allowance need to be paid for through tax increases, cuts or borrowing elsewhere there is still strong support for it. Only 18% think it should remain at the current level, 16% would support an increase to £9000, 34% to the Liberal Democrat’s proposed £10,000 and 20% higher than that.

On the 50p income tax rate, only 27% support it being abolished in this budget with 60% opposed. Amongst Conservative supporters the split is very even, 45% support, 46% oppose. Labour and Liberal Democrat voters are heavily against. Opposition for it being abolished is not much less to a pledge to abolish it in a later budget – 52% would oppose this, with 29% in support.

Unsurprisingly the overwhelming majority of people (77%) would support a decrease in the level of fuel duty. There is still a substantial majority in favour when YouGov asked people to balance the competing priorities of cutting the deficit or cutting fuel duty – 59% think it is more important to cut fuel duty compared to 20% who think it is more important to cut the deficit. Opinion on the higher rate of tax relief on pension contributions (even split) and the abolition of child benefit for higher rate taxpayers (majority support) remain the same.

Turning to the USA and the special relationship, 54% think the relationship between the US & UK is very or fairly close. 20% think it should be closer, 21% weaker and 49% think it is about right. Perceptions are now that the relationship has got a little closer since David Cameron became Prime Minister – 26% think it has got closer, 13% less close and 54% no difference. This is significantly better than when YouGov asked the same question in 2010, when the figures were 15% and 20% respectively.

People still, however, don’t think we have much influence over the USA – only 11% think we have a lot or some influence, 44% think we have not a lot of influence, 39% think we have no influence at all, not much changed from 2010. On the specifics of David Cameron’s trip to the USA, 28% think the reception was over the top, but 46% think it got the balance about right.


105 Responses to “This week’s YouGov/Sunday Times poll”

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  1. Speaking of Ken and Boris, are YouGov (or anyone else, for that matter) going to be polling the London elections more regularly now that we’re less than 2 months away? (Also, aren’t we due March’s YouGov/Evening Standard poll any day now?)

  2. My my…the electorate have caught a bout of masochism…Labour might as well go home

  3. Amber Star

    @ Allan Christie

    Apparently you get 100% & I get 50% Enjoy your gloatfest, it’s on me.
    __________

    LOL, thanks I will… :)

  4. COLIN…………. The volatility shown in the polls is a signal to us all that it is anybody’s game, I still believe that an OM is achievable by either of the two main parties…..all to play for, and a lesson not to count one’s chickens just yet, or perhaps even to leave it for a couple of years. :-)

  5. Anthony:

    Do we have any data on Amber’s point on a previous thread? It would tell us more than rounded 1% MOE movement du jour ever does.

    “Amber Star @ Billy Bob

    “… I believe that work colleagues, friends, family & local media may have more influence than the major media outlets. And it is still debatable whether, over-all, the formal media follow the zeitgeist or create it.”

    Amber may have something important here.

    I think this is the explanaion for the SNP’s success both in the 2011 vote (and why it wasn’t predicted till after the polls closed) and subsequent hesitant support by the Murdoch press.

    The latter needs no furter elucidation, but the former is substantially due to the Rural Affairs minister, who would not be recognised by name or in person in a Glagow supermarket, but is a celebrity in a farmer’s market and a hero in a fish market.

    His activities are ignored by the national media and his extensive coverage in local and trade press is greater than other ministers, even the FM.

    Both Labour in England and the SNP in Scotland are dithering in front of an open goal created by the NHS changes in England. The NHS, if it were a single employer, would be second only to the Chinese army. It’s staff, their close friends and immediate family must account for about a tenth of the adult population.

    Not a few of the other 90% are NHS patients.

    There are few of us who, if they had a bad day at work because their boss was unreasonable, wouldn’t find someone to tell their woes to. In fact it’s unhealthy not to do so.

    If I were running Labour’s campaign in a coalition held constituency in England or the SNP election or independence campaign in Scotland, I wouldn’t be knocking on doors of people’s houses, I’d be standing outside health centres and hospitals.

    Everyone you encountered would be a potential anti-Tory “certain to vote” voter.

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