Tonight’s YouGov poll for the Sunday Times has topline figures of CON 36%, LAB 42%, LDEM 11%. We can’t tell much from that – it’s perfectly inline with the 8 point Labour leads that have emerged from YouGov over the last week, but would also be inline with the lead returning to the six point or so gap that was typical before. The 11 point score for the Lib Dems is the highest YouGov have recorded since May… but usual caveats about waiting to see if it’s confirmed in future polling.

Full post tomorrow when the full tables are published.


54 Responses to “YouGov/Sunday Times – CON 36%, LAB 42%, LDEM 11%”

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  1. Stuart Dickson

    Early days as I said. 4 years till the election, he who laughs last…ho ho ho.

  2. Nick Poole

    If there is no movement of the polls, Labour will win.

    You are right there.

  3. Stuart Dickson

    “If it hadn’t been for Jo Grimond in the 50s and David Steel in the 60s and 70s, slowly building up the momentum, I very much doubt if Donald Dewar would have been able to persuade Tony Blair to enact the Scotland Act. And without the Scotland Act, I very much doubt that my country would be a referendum away from regaining its sovereignty.”

    The first time I heard the “slippery slope” argument, it was put to Donad Dewar by a Natonalist.

    I remember it clearly because I thought at the time that there was something odd about what Donald didn’t say and especially the way he didn’t say it. The Nationalist, who had been arguing excitedly, was suddenly very quiet, though he later recovered his composure and parroted the party line.

    I got the impression that something had passed between them by non-verbal means in the way I have experienced in the company of freemasons.

    I put this question to you: If you believe the pre-devolution fear of Conservatives that devolution will – in the words of Donald’s Nationalist interrogator – “inevitably lead to independence” – then should not the architect of devolution, who worked on the project for half a century and persuaded the cabinet, the law lords, the convention and four out of five of the population in a referendum, have worked out the “inevitable” consequences.

    Is it possible that he would not – to put it at the very lowest – been prepared to accept the risk?

    I know that he saw the Home Rule parliament as a model for the reform of Westminster. If I had known then what I know now, I would have asked “What if Westminster doesn’t reform according to your model?”

    Remember too that he said “Scotland will be independent when people vote for it”. Then try to imagine Tony Blair, Michael Howard or Gerry Adams giving lawyerly evasions to avoid making a statement like that. Their answer would deny the premise the question is based on. The convers of the statement would of course negate any pretence that Britain is a democracy: “Scotland will NOT be independent when people vote for it.”

  4. @ Top Hat

    “I have to admit, the Libs have the best logo. The Conservative’s is the product of a demented three year old, and I’ve never been a huge fan of the Labour rose. Just doesn’t seem that impressive to me.”

    I like the Labour rose. It’s pretty. It’s a lot better than a donkey. The bird is okay but I don’t entirely get it.

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