There is a new ComRes poll in the Indy on Sunday/Sunday Mirror. Topline figures are CON 36%(-1), LAB 40%(+3), LDEM 10%(-1), Others 14%(-1) – changes are since ComRes’s last online poll a month ago, which had shown the Conservatives and Labour neck and neck on 37%. There does appear to be some effect on voting intention from the phone hacking saga – YouGov’s daily tracking seems to have moved from a Labour lead in the region of 6 points to one in the region of 8 points, now ComRes have Labour going from neck-and-neck to 4 points ahead. Whether it lasts of course is a different matter.

ComRes also repeated their leader ratings questions, which have Miliband significantly up since last month and Cameron somewhat down. 27% of people now think that Ed Miliband is turning out to be a good leader (up from 18% a month ago), 33% think David Cameron is turning out to be a good PM (down from 37% a month ago).

Still to come tonight is the regular YouGov/Sunday Times poll. I’m not aware of any other polling due in the Sunday papers.


83 Responses to “ComRes/Indy on Sunday – CON 36, LAB 40, LD 10”

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  1. @Crossbat – “How the hell do we put this story back in its box?”

    All we need now is a glamorous character called Pandora to enter the scene……. :-)

  2. Woodsman

    :-) :-) Good one!

  3. “but I admit, this is an unexpected development.”
    I’m not at all surprised about Whittingdale’s NI connections.
    He’s long played the ‘there was a full investigation’ talking point, along with denying that (despite other members of the committee saying it was true) that NI threatened members of the committee with leaking of personal stories (which actually happened to Chris Bryant, IIRC).

    I personally think this will be Watson’s ‘Major’ resignation as he is also a member of the committee and it’d be major to him.

  4. It seems that the summer holidays may be dominated by
    the linkages between Cameroons and News
    International.

    It must make Vincent Cable feel very uncomfortable

  5. Tinged,

    Watson is now implying it’s someone else…..

    My money would be on someone at the Met.

  6. He seemed impressive to me. It’s a shame how people are letting us down. But then again, like Cameron, it’s just friendship.

    Looks like Sir Paul Stephenson is on the edge looking into an abyss too.

  7. Henry
    ;-)

    AW
    Thanks for the answer to TopHat. I’ll sling that at Partisan Lib Dem as well.

    ‘Partisan Lib Dem’, a contradiction in terms, surely.

  8. Woodsman,
    So he has.
    It seems (in reply to someone) he’s basically ruled Whittingdale out.

    If I were to guess anybody in the Met, it would be Yates.
    It was rumoured that he was going to resign on Friday but that was later denied.

    Considering the latest revelations in the Guardian, that would be most likely.

    I doubt it’d be Paul Stephenson, but who knows at this point.

  9. Blimey this is a story that won’t let up, ain’t it?

    What on earth can happen next?

  10. Telegraph:

    “The career of Sir Paul Stephenson is hanging in the balance after it emerged he enjoyed a five-week stay for free at a luxurious health farm promoted by the former deputy editor of the News of the World. ”

    Five week!!!!

  11. Chris Lane

    It must make Vincent Cable feel very uncomfortable

    I think that Murdochs link to Labour and more recently the Tories will make Vince feel vindicated.

    I hope all those in the Labour and Tory Party will join with me in congratulating Vince on being right yet again

    He scoffed at GB when he said he had done away with boom and bust and warned us of Murdoch when Labour and Tories were cosying up.

    And yet he has not said a word like ‘I told you so’ what a gentleman; lesser mortals like EM take note.

  12. @NICK POOLE

    I think some senior Lib Dems must be considering their
    positions.

    If and when the ‘friends’ of Ministers are on trial it will be
    very difficult.

    Maybe Labour is lucky to have an outsider as leader

  13. Whatever the “ifs” and “buts” – the polls suggest that if there were an election tomorrow, Labour would win a landslide.

    Their third in 15 years.

    And something the Conservative party have failed to do since 1987.

    Nearly a quarter of a century ago.

  14. Apparently Cameron’s off to South Africa.

    Will we see him being grilled in a foriegn country again about phone hacking? I’ve got a feeling Tuesday’s fun and games will leave him with some questions to answer.

    What next?

  15. Are people completely doolally?

    This Wihittingdonewotsit and Hinton – like they have been sneaking off for secret tryst in the Riviera or something?

    Has it been totally unknown forever that they know each other? That they are friends (if they are friends)???

    Like maybe its been totally unknown that Brown has been up Murdoch’s backside for 20 years perhaps.

    Is this not now slightly mad?

  16. @Anthony; thank you very much!

    @Chris Todd;

    I think that’s actually due to my generation, or at least the age range from 20-30ish (so maybe generation above). We constantly hear bogey tales of Thatcher and it eventually becomes inherited opinion. Of course, I have reached the point where I made my own decision, and it was independent of that, but I should imagine a great many people in that age range don’t. In a way, the Conservative’s “nasty party” image is what is constantly preventing them from doing better. I don’t think they’ll ever improve until they can drop that stigma.

  17. And on an unrelated note, I have tickets to Tuesday’s Minister’s Questions. :D

  18. Nick
    I always think those PCs with the hapless host standing by while our PM answers stuff of no interest to the host country, is most discourteous.

    I always think about what I would do. I would refuse to answer parochial questions when abroad and explain why.

  19. The New York Times:

    While the police investigation has largely centered on cellphone hacking by journalists at The News of the World, it has now spread to the investigative unit of The Sunday Times, a person familiar with internal News Corporation discussions said. That person, as well as a person with knowledge of the scope of the inquiry, said the investigation would expand to include hacking into e-mail accounts and other online privacy invasions.

    One target of the investigation is Jonathan Rees, a private detective employed by The News of the World with ties to corrupt police officers and a criminal record. Tom Watson, a Labour minister who has been briefed on the inquiry, said the police had evidence that Mr. Rees was paid by News International and that he had claimed to have met with members of The Sunday Times investigation unit.

  20. Chris Todd
    Whatever the “ifs” and “buts” – the polls suggest that if there were an election tomorrow, Labour would win a landslide

    Only one drawback; we do not have elections every year, or each time Labour is in the lead in the polls.

    However you are correct that the Labour Party dominated since 97. It would probably take 20 years of Coalition rule to recover the economy and education system.

    Gosh only me and the lefties tonite; I suppose the Tories are all out having a good time.

  21. @Davey

    ” I suppose the Tories are all out having a good time.”

    I thought all the nation’s asylum seekers had been rounded up by now! lol

  22. Trevors Den

    ‘Are people completely doolally?’

    Sorry Trevor, you me and the lefties.

    No they are not doolally, just practising their left wing propaganda. They ruined the eonomy; don’t let them ruin your day.

  23. davey

    Do you npt think this is all pretty exciting? It certainly FEELS like the police, the press and the political establishment is being shaken out ferociously.

    Don’t you think so? Or do you think this is a lot of fuss about nothing?

  24. I can’t see how I ruined the economy, by the way. Not sure that doesn’t constitute libel.

  25. Davey

    “we do not have elections every year”

    Were it not for the arrogance of Westminster in deciding that 5 years for them overrode the 4 year pattern in Europe, devolved administrations (and the Scottish locals), then we would have had annual elections, if the prats at Westminster hadn’t wanted to be different (or more likely were wholly bloody ignorant of everything outwith their wee bubble).

    2009 Euro elections
    2010 UK GE
    2011 Scottish GE
    2012 Scottish local elections.

    Nice, neat and tidy. A rational pattern.

    On the other hand, there is the irrational, ignorant arrogance of Westminster.

  26. Chris Lane

    ‘Maybe Labour is lucky to have an outsider as leader’

    Explains much tory angst that David wasn’t elected instead. They could have hung all sorts of their own sins on him as well. Bit harder with Ed.

    David would never have stood up to NI or called for it to be broken up.

  27. davey, you have to see the bigger picture on this, it is far wider than one rogue newspaper and is basically an establishment cover up.

    that is our watergate in this.

  28. Do you npt think this is all pretty exciting? It certainly FEELS like the police, the press and the political establishment is being shaken out ferociously.

    Don’t you think so? Or do you think this is a lot of fuss about nothing?

    As yet I am not sure that the police will be fully investigated and I am not sure whether the link between politicians, the press and the police will be properly reviewed.

    If they are and those implicated rooted out, prosecuted and punished and if controls are put in place to protect the integrity of all three in future I will be delighted.

    A young relative of mine who was invited to stand in a safe seat in the last election, chose not to as she believed the press held such unhealthy power over MPs and those who stood up to them would be victims of lies and bullying. I would be delighted if in the future she believes things have changed and decides to stand.

    I dislike the sniping and innuendo by the left on this site. Admittedly the right hits back on Blair, Brown, etc but it is pretty obvious that it is more retalliation than nastiness.

  29. I expect you are right, davey. I get over-excited.

    It’s Ed Milliband’s job though to demand to know why Cameron spent so much time with NI officials. Obviously too much influence.

    It may well be true (don’t know) that the same accusation can be levelled at Blair, Brown whoever. But they aren’t running the country. So now Cameron has to explain.

    He might need to win some trust back. I hope it will need to fairer government.

  30. “Are people completely doolally?”

    You’re right, Rupert Murdoch has behaved impeccably from the moment he realised something was wrong. James Murdoch is a superb company chairman and will continue to lead BSkyB into bright, BBC-free future. Rebecca Brooks has apologised to NOTW staff for losing them their jobs whilst holding onto hers and has moved on now simply to allow her self more time to attend parliamentary committees. The Metropolitan Police are being meticulous and mulitfarious with their enquiries, David Cameron has been a loyal and trustworthy friend and Andy Coulson a brilliant communications chief throughout the election and beyond.

    It’s just the rest of us who are nuts.

  31. @ Top Hat

    And on an unrelated note, I have tickets to Tuesday’s Minister’s Questions.
    ————————————–
    Can we expect a live blog from you on these boards?
    :-)

  32. At what point will the ‘other ‘ vote be broken down in to parties?

    I’m interested to see how ‘the Green’ vote is growing.

  33. @ Davey

    However you are correct that the Labour Party dominated since 97. It would probably take 20 years of Coalition rule to recover the economy and education system.

    Gosh only me and the lefties tonite; I suppose the Tories are all out having a good time.

    ——

    You are precisely the kind of Conservative that makes me ashamed to be a lifelong Conservative. The “nasty” party label sticks for a reason!

    Please try to i. be nicer to folk (you do not know) and ii. stick to the rules of this blog.

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