This week’s YouGov/Sunday Times poll has topline figures of CON 37%, LAB 43%, LDEM 9%. It looks like the post-election narrowing of the polls may be fading, though conversely the government and David Cameron’s approval ratings are still comparatively good in this poll – government approval is at minus 19, David Cameron’s approval rating has edged back into positive territor on plus 2. We’ll have to wait and see how things settle.

In the rest of the poll YouGov re-asked some Libya quesstions, but with little change from the last few months. People were marginally in favour of the intervention in Libya (by 42% to 36%), but opposed further intervention to remove Gaddafi by 56% to 24%. Asked how long they though the West should continue to give military support to the rebels, 20% said it should stop immediately, 30% that it should continue for as long as necessary (6% said up to a month, 12% 3 months, 8% six months, 4% a year).

More generally YouGov asked if people though Britain should or should notbe prepared to take military action against leaders who posed a threat to their own people, but no direct threat to Britain – broadly whether people supported liberal interventionism or not. 32% thought Britain should intervene in such cases, 44% that she shouldn’t.

YouGov also re-asked a question from 2005 on whether people wanted Britain to have a stronger relationship with Europe or the USA. Back then in the Bush era 48% said both equally, 22% Europe, 15% USA. This year the positions of Europe and the USA have reversed – 13% now say Europe, 21% the USA, both equally 46%.

There were also a series of questions on injunctions. Broadly speaking people continue to think that the current use of injunctions has gone too far, with 63% thinking John Hemming was right to break the injunction on Ryan Giggs. In principle 53% of people think the freedom of the press to report things they think are of interest to the public is more important than protecting the privacy of people in the people eye, 21% think the opposite.

YouGov also asked whether it would be legitimate or not for the media to report if various people were having an affair. People were most likely to say it was legitimate to report a politician was having an affair – 71% said it would be legitimate to report a senior politician having an affair, 65% a backbencher, and 62% a local councillor. This last one was, perhaps surprisingly, higher than people who were much more prominent in the public eye, but outside politics, such as “a senior executive of a major corporation” (58%), “a top professional footballer” (59%), “a well known actor” (56%).

Also very high up was “a local clergyman” – 64% of people think it would be legitimate for the press to report them having an affair. Lowest of all, of course, was “a normal member of the public”… but even there 30% of people thought it would be legitimate for newspapers to report them having an affair.

(I have limited internet access all this week, so won’t be checking the site very often)


158 Responses to “YouGov/Sunday Times poll”

1 2 3 4
  1. Goodness, how nice that there will be a poll at 10 o clock,
    and perhaps another at 10, 30.

  2. RobbieAlive

    Let me help you with your understanding.

    Scotland gets a Block Grant from Westminster (paid from the monies we send them). The amount is determined by Westminster. It is a fixed budget, and the Scottish Parliament is required to produce a balanced budget each year. There are small tax raising powers available, but raising the basic rate (and only the basic rate) of income tax via the SVR has been analysed by all parties (except the Greens) as being counter-productive.

    Allowing a rise in council tax would produce an insignificant amount compared with the requirement to avoid pay restraint.

    The Scottish government has cut central budgets to allow local authorities to take an average cut of only 3.8%? as opposed to 12.1%? in England (those figures are from memory and may not be exact).

    Without access to the full range of financial powers, no Scottish Government can significantly increase income to offset cuts in its budget from Westminster.

    Hence your knee jerk response to both Council Tax freeze and pay restraint as “the SNP’s neo-Tory tax-cutting policies” is simple nonsense.

    You may be unaware that in the last session of Parliament the SNP had proposed raising tax on out of town retailers (the so called Tesco Tax) to raise some additional revenue to offset the Westminster cuts. That failed due to the opposition of Labour who were concerned about supermarket profits.

    It is unwise to make allegations about decisions in a political system of which you are ignorant.

  3. Mike Smithson

    “The latest ComRes phone poll for The Independent has Labour and the Tories level pegging on 37% which is the first tme since October 2010 that the red team has not been in the lead.

    This is only the second telephone survey since the May 5th elections and comes from the pollster that came in a respectable second place with its final AV poll.

    The LDs are down three to 12 while support for other parties, including the SNP, UKIP and Greens, is up by two points 14 per cent.

    Although Labour are not down in this survey – the gap has closed because the Tories are up – the fact that the lead has gone will create some nervousness at Miliband Towers. Back in January the pollster had Labour with a nine point lead.”

  4. YouGov: Con 37%, Lab 42%, LD 9%, App -22.

  5. So situation normal.

    Compared with ComRes, YouGov under measures LD/Others and over measures Labour – and vice versa.

  6. @RAF

    In this case, the UK SC judges who made this judgement WERE Scottish judges! Or at least Lord Hope, the deputy justice who lead this bench is Scottish, as is Lord Rodger who also sat on the bench.

    @RobbieAlive
    Scottish Labour’s council tax freeze was for the length of the current local goverment pay settlement/pay freeze. One would assume that in 2 years time a suitable negotiation could be done which would allow local government workers to cope with increasing inflation and councils to plan accordingly.

    The SNP plan neccesitates a 5 year pay freeze – which I can tell you that few of my fellow workers have worked out. Yet.

  7. RAF

    Found the report of the appeal rejection

    http://www.scotcourts.gov.uk/opinions/2008HCJAC26.html

    What seems puzzling to those of us who don’t sit on the bench (or the fence :-) )

    is how 3 Scots judges can come to one conclusion, while 2 other Scots judges come to the opposite one.

  8. I am not entirely surprised that Labour lead seems to be slipping away. Milliband after a brief honeymoon period has not in any way spelt out his vision. I think there seems to be an increasing feeling that like his predecessor he wanted the top job, but having got it doesn’t seem to know what to do with it.
    Most of the opposition to Coalition policies seem to be coming from within the coalition, not from Labour and while Labour only have a blank piece of paper , they are maybe seen as irrelevant, particularly in the South, hence the results at the Locals.

1 2 3 4