Adrian Masters at ITV Wales has put up the results of YouGov’s final call for Wales. Full tabs are here, topline figures are as follows:
Welsh Assembly Constituency: CON 20%, LAB 47%, LDEM 9%, Plaid 18%
Welsh Assembly Regional: CON 19%, LAB 43%, LDEM 8%, Plaid 18%, UKIP 7%
Denis Balsom, ITV Wales’s psephologist, has a seat projection based on these of Labour 31 seats, Conservative 13 seats, Plaid 11 seats and Lib Dems 5. YouGov have referendum voting in Wales as YES 43%, NO 57%.
I am at rehearsals for the BBC election night coverage at evening, so won’t be about regularly to update on the final call polls. There should be final Scottish and AV polls from YouGov (there was a YouGov poll last night on AV giving NO an 18 point lead – suggesting that 10 point lead at the weekend was an outlier – but there is a final call poll still to come), and some polling from Angus Reid and ICM.