Somewhat strange timing, given the political news is going to be budget-budget-budget tonight, but there is a new ComRes poll of London mayoral voting intentions out. First preferences apparently show Ken on 46%, Boris on 44%, with second preferences re-allocated Ken remains ahead on 51% to Boris’s 49%.
Westminster voting intention in London is meanwhile CON 31% (down 4 from the general election), LAB 48% (up 11), LDEM 9% (down 13). These are broadly in line with the sort of changes we are seeing in the national polls.
When ComRes last measured London mayoral voting intentions in October they found Boris ahead of Ken by 44% to 35%, so this is a significant change in the picture.
The only other polling of the London race we have is from YouGov, which has a pretty similar picture to this latest ComRes poll – the last YouGov London poll had Ken 2 points ahead on first preferences, but Boris marginally ahead in a forced choice question. Essentially both pollsters have the race neck and neck at present.