There is a new ComRes poll in the Independent on Sunday. Topline figures with changes from the last online ComRes poll a month ago are CON 36%(nc), LAB 42%(+2), LDEM 11%(+1), Others 11%(-3). As regular readers will know, ComRes carry out online polls for the Independent on Sunday, and telephone polls for the Independent. It is starting to look as if the different modes are producing different results for ComRes – their online polls are tending to show signficiantly smaller leads for Labour than their telephone polls.
As well as the normal voting intention question ComRes also agree/disagree on some statements about cuts which showed the normal trend towards people thinking the cuts are unfair and too fast.
There was was also a question on voting intention in the AV referendum. The Indy had been tweeting about this being a “surprising” poll, showing don’t knows making their minds, with that in mind, there isn’t really a big change since ComRes asked the same question a month ago. 40% say yes in response to the question that will be on the paper (up 4), 30% say no in response to the question (no change), 30% said don’t know (down by 4).
As we know, there’s a noticable difference between the results produced by the YouGov question that summarises the systems and asks how people would vote in the referendum, and the question here that asks people to say yes or no to the question that will be asked in the referendum. However, it is notable that both questions have shown a significant shift towards AV over the last fortnight. Momentum seems to have shifted in YES campaign’s direction.