The monthly voting intention figures from YouGov, with changes from last month, are CON 38%(-1), LAB 33%(nc), LDEM 18%(nc).

The steadiness of the Labour and Lib Dem levels of support is the same as ICM’s poll in the week, and suggests that despite the government’s support for Israel being very unpopular, it is not yet damaging people’s support for them. ICM’s increase in the Conservative vote is obviously not reflected here: while the actual figures are within each other’s margin of error, it does make it impossible to pick out any sort of trend.

While David Cameron remains marginally ahead of Tony Blair on the best leader question, his approval ratings have dropped markedly – down to +2 from +14 the last time YouGov asked the question in April. YouGov’s daily trackers suggest this is a result of a drop around the time of the “hug-a-hoodie” speech and the delay of his EPP pledge.


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